Thun – Víkingur Reykjavík odds
Thun went into the match as heavy favourites against Víkingur Reykjavík.
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2nd Half
Thun – Víkingur Reykjavík: closing odds analysis
- Thun were favourites: the closing odds implied a 57% chance of a home win, 20% for Víkingur Reykjavík and 23% for a draw.
- Best closing odds: Thun 1.73 at bwin, the draw 4.20 at Stake, Víkingur Reykjavík 4.80 at VBET.
- bwin had the highest closing payout on the match result: 94.8%.
- Odds movement: the best price on Víkingur Reykjavík shortened from 6.80 at the opening to 4.80 at kick-off.
- The closing odds implied a 60% chance that both teams score.
Who were the favourites, Thun or Víkingur Reykjavík?
Thun, by a distance: the closing odds put 37.8 percentage points between the two sides.
Which bookmaker had the best closing odds on Thun – Víkingur Reykjavík?
It depended on the outcome: bwin was best on Thun, Stake on the draw and VBET on Víkingur Reykjavík. Across all three outcomes bwin paid out the most (94.8%) and VBET the least (90.8%).
| BOOKMAKER | THUN | DRAW | VÍKINGUR REYKJAVÍK | PAYOUT |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| bwin | 1.73 best price | 3.75 | 4.75 | 94.8% |
| Stake | 1.59 | 4.20 best price | 4.70 | 92.6% |
| VBET | 1.54 | 4.10 | 4.80 best price | 90.8% |
| BEST PRICE | 1.73 | 4.20 | 4.80 | 97.6% |
| SPREAD, LOW TO HIGH | 1.54–1.73 · 12.3% | 3.75–4.20 · 12.0% | 4.70–4.80 · 2.1% | 90.8–94.8% |
How did the Thun – Víkingur Reykjavík odds move before kick-off?
The best price on Víkingur Reykjavík shortened from 6.80 when odds opened on 31 Jul to 4.80 at kick-off, a 29.4% drop.
DATA
| BEST PRICE AT | THUN | DRAW | VÍKINGUR REYKJAVÍK |
|---|---|---|---|
| Fri 31 Jul (open) | 1.51 | 4.50 | 6.80 |
| Mon 3 Aug | 1.49 | 5.00 | 6.50 |
| Thu 6 Aug (kick-off) | 1.73 | 4.20 | 4.80 |
How many goals did the odds expect?
Both teams to score was priced at 59.9%.
How we calculate
Implied probability is 1 ÷ decimal odds. A bookmaker's match-result probabilities add up to more than 100%; the excess is its margin. We remove each bookmaker's margin proportionally and average the result across every bookmaker that prices all three outcomes.
Payout is 1 ÷ (1/odds₁ + 1/odds₂ + 1/odds₃): the share of all stakes a bookmaker would return across every outcome. Best-price payout uses the highest price on each outcome, wherever it is offered. Prices more than 48 hours old are left out while fresher ones exist.
Odds movement follows the best price on each outcome from the moment at least three bookmakers priced the match, sampled daily.
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