Sheriff Tiraspol – St. Gallen odds
St. Gallen went into the match as clear favourites against Sheriff Tiraspol.
Full Time
1st Half
2nd Half
Sheriff Tiraspol – St. Gallen: closing odds analysis
- St. Gallen were favourites: the closing odds implied a 48% chance of an away win, 24% for Sheriff Tiraspol and 27% for a draw.
- Best closing odds: Sheriff Tiraspol 3.85 at Stake, the draw 3.55 at Stake, St. Gallen 1.98 at bwin.
- Stake had the highest closing payout on the match result: 92.9%.
- Odds movement: the best price on Sheriff Tiraspol drifted from 3.40 at the opening to 3.85 at kick-off.
- The closing odds implied a 56% chance that both teams score.
Who were the favourites, Sheriff Tiraspol or St. Gallen?
St. Gallen, clearly: the closing odds put 24.1 percentage points between the two sides.
Which bookmaker had the best closing odds on Sheriff Tiraspol – St. Gallen?
It depended on the outcome: Stake was best on Sheriff Tiraspol, Stake on the draw and bwin on St. Gallen. Across all three outcomes Stake paid out the most (92.9%) and VBET the least (91.0%).
| BOOKMAKER | SHERIFF TIRASPOL | DRAW | ST. GALLEN | PAYOUT |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Stake | 3.85 best price | 3.55 best price | 1.87 | 92.9% |
| bwin | 3.80 | 3.10 | 1.98 best price | 91.7% |
| VBET | 3.70 | 3.47 | 1.85 | 91.0% |
| BEST PRICE | 3.85 | 3.55 | 1.98 | 95.6% |
| SPREAD, LOW TO HIGH | 3.70–3.85 · 4.1% | 3.10–3.55 · 14.5% | 1.85–1.98 · 7.0% | 91.0–92.9% |
How did the Sheriff Tiraspol – St. Gallen odds move before kick-off?
The best price on Sheriff Tiraspol drifted from 3.40 when odds opened on 3 Aug to 3.85 at kick-off, a 13.2% rise.
DATA
| BEST PRICE AT | SHERIFF TIRASPOL | DRAW | ST. GALLEN |
|---|---|---|---|
| Mon 3 Aug (open) | 3.40 | 3.55 | 2.05 |
| Wed 5 Aug | 3.55 | 3.55 | 2.05 |
| Thu 6 Aug (kick-off) | 3.85 | 3.55 | 1.98 |
How many goals did the odds expect?
Both teams to score was priced at 55.7%.
How we calculate
Implied probability is 1 ÷ decimal odds. A bookmaker's match-result probabilities add up to more than 100%; the excess is its margin. We remove each bookmaker's margin proportionally and average the result across every bookmaker that prices all three outcomes.
Payout is 1 ÷ (1/odds₁ + 1/odds₂ + 1/odds₃): the share of all stakes a bookmaker would return across every outcome. Best-price payout uses the highest price on each outcome, wherever it is offered. Prices more than 48 hours old are left out while fresher ones exist.
Odds movement follows the best price on each outcome from the moment at least three bookmakers priced the match, sampled daily.
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