Raków Częstochowa – Hammarby odds
Raków Częstochowa went into the match as narrow favourites against Hammarby.
Full Time
1st Half
2nd Half
Raków Częstochowa – Hammarby: closing odds analysis
- Raków Częstochowa were favourites: the closing odds implied a 40% chance of a home win, 30% for Hammarby and 30% for a draw.
- Best closing odds: Raków Częstochowa 2.45 at bwin, the draw 3.30 at Stake, Hammarby 3.08 at VBET.
- Stake had the highest closing payout on the match result: 92.7%.
- Odds movement: the best price on Raków Częstochowa drifted from 2.20 at the opening to 2.45 at kick-off.
- The closing odds implied a 54% chance that both teams score.
Who were the favourites, Raków Częstochowa or Hammarby?
Raków Częstochowa, but only just: the closing odds put 9.3 percentage points between the two sides.
Which bookmaker had the best closing odds on Raków Częstochowa – Hammarby?
It depended on the outcome: bwin was best on Raków Częstochowa, Stake on the draw and VBET on Hammarby. Across all three outcomes Stake paid out the most (92.7%) and VBET the least (90.9%).
| BOOKMAKER | RAKÓW CZĘSTOCHOWA | DRAW | HAMMARBY | PAYOUT |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Stake | 2.26 | 3.30 best price | 3.00 | 92.7% |
| bwin | 2.45 best price | 2.85 | 3.00 | 91.5% |
| VBET | 2.24 | 3.04 | 3.08 best price | 90.9% |
| BEST PRICE | 2.45 | 3.30 | 3.08 | 96.5% |
| SPREAD, LOW TO HIGH | 2.24–2.45 · 9.4% | 2.85–3.30 · 15.8% | 3.00–3.08 · 2.7% | 90.9–92.7% |
How did the Raków Częstochowa – Hammarby odds move before kick-off?
The best price on Raków Częstochowa drifted from 2.20 when odds opened on 31 Jul to 2.45 at kick-off, a 11.4% rise.
DATA
| BEST PRICE AT | RAKÓW CZĘSTOCHOWA | DRAW | HAMMARBY |
|---|---|---|---|
| Fri 31 Jul (open) | 2.20 | 3.30 | 3.15 |
| Mon 3 Aug | 2.15 | 3.35 | 3.41 |
| Thu 6 Aug (kick-off) | 2.45 | 3.30 | 3.08 |
How many goals did the odds expect?
Both teams to score was priced at 54.0%.
How we calculate
Implied probability is 1 ÷ decimal odds. A bookmaker's match-result probabilities add up to more than 100%; the excess is its margin. We remove each bookmaker's margin proportionally and average the result across every bookmaker that prices all three outcomes.
Payout is 1 ÷ (1/odds₁ + 1/odds₂ + 1/odds₃): the share of all stakes a bookmaker would return across every outcome. Best-price payout uses the highest price on each outcome, wherever it is offered. Prices more than 48 hours old are left out while fresher ones exist.
Odds movement follows the best price on each outcome from the moment at least three bookmakers priced the match, sampled daily.
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