Maccabi Tel Aviv – CSKA Sofia odds
Maccabi Tel Aviv went into the match as clear favourites against CSKA Sofia.
Full Time
1st Half
2nd Half
Maccabi Tel Aviv – CSKA Sofia: closing odds analysis
- Maccabi Tel Aviv were favourites: the closing odds implied a 45% chance of a home win, 26% for CSKA Sofia and 30% for a draw.
- Best closing odds: Maccabi Tel Aviv 2.25 at bwin, the draw 3.31 at VBET, CSKA Sofia 3.75 at Stake.
- bwin had the highest closing payout on the match result: 94.9%.
- Odds movement: the best price on Maccabi Tel Aviv drifted from 1.95 at the opening to 2.25 at kick-off.
- The closing odds implied a 48% chance that both teams score.
Who were the favourites, Maccabi Tel Aviv or CSKA Sofia?
Maccabi Tel Aviv, clearly: the closing odds put 19.3 percentage points between the two sides.
Which bookmaker had the best closing odds on Maccabi Tel Aviv – CSKA Sofia?
It depended on the outcome: bwin was best on Maccabi Tel Aviv, VBET on the draw and Stake on CSKA Sofia. Across all three outcomes bwin paid out the most (94.9%) and VBET the least (90.9%).
| BOOKMAKER | MACCABI TEL AVIV | DRAW | CSKA SOFIA | PAYOUT |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| bwin | 2.25 best price | 2.95 | 3.70 | 94.9% |
| Stake | 2.01 | 3.20 | 3.75 best price | 92.9% |
| VBET | 1.97 | 3.31 best price | 3.45 | 90.9% |
| BEST PRICE | 2.25 | 3.31 | 3.75 | 98.7% |
| SPREAD, LOW TO HIGH | 1.97–2.25 · 14.2% | 2.95–3.31 · 12.2% | 3.45–3.75 · 8.7% | 90.9–94.9% |
How did the Maccabi Tel Aviv – CSKA Sofia odds move before kick-off?
The best price on Maccabi Tel Aviv drifted from 1.95 when odds opened on 31 Jul to 2.25 at kick-off, a 15.4% rise.
DATA
| BEST PRICE AT | MACCABI TEL AVIV | DRAW | CSKA SOFIA |
|---|---|---|---|
| Fri 31 Jul (open) | 1.95 | 3.50 | 4.40 |
| Mon 3 Aug | 2.20 | 3.25 | 3.70 |
| Thu 6 Aug (kick-off) | 2.25 | 3.31 | 3.75 |
How many goals did the odds expect?
Both teams to score was priced at 48.1%.
How we calculate
Implied probability is 1 ÷ decimal odds. A bookmaker's match-result probabilities add up to more than 100%; the excess is its margin. We remove each bookmaker's margin proportionally and average the result across every bookmaker that prices all three outcomes.
Payout is 1 ÷ (1/odds₁ + 1/odds₂ + 1/odds₃): the share of all stakes a bookmaker would return across every outcome. Best-price payout uses the highest price on each outcome, wherever it is offered. Prices more than 48 hours old are left out while fresher ones exist.
Odds movement follows the best price on each outcome from the moment at least three bookmakers priced the match, sampled daily.
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