Lugano – NSÍ Runavík odds
Lugano went into the match as heavy favourites against NSÍ Runavík.
Full Time
1st Half
2nd Half
Lugano – NSÍ Runavík: closing odds analysis
- Lugano were favourites: the closing odds implied a 82% chance of a home win, 6% for NSÍ Runavík and 12% for a draw.
- Best closing odds: Lugano 1.17 at bwin, the draw 8.80 at Stake, NSÍ Runavík 20.00 at Stake.
- bwin had the highest closing payout on the match result: 92.6%.
- Odds movement: the best price on NSÍ Runavík drifted from 14.00 at the opening to 20.00 at kick-off.
- The closing odds implied a 39% chance that both teams score.
Who were the favourites, Lugano or NSÍ Runavík?
Lugano, by a distance: the closing odds put 76.8 percentage points between the two sides.
Which bookmaker had the best closing odds on Lugano – NSÍ Runavík?
It depended on the outcome: bwin was best on Lugano, Stake on the draw and Stake on NSÍ Runavík. Across all three outcomes bwin paid out the most (92.6%) and VBET the least (91.2%).
| BOOKMAKER | LUGANO | DRAW | NSÍ RUNAVÍK | PAYOUT |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| bwin | 1.17 best price | 6.75 | 13.00 | 92.6% |
| Stake | 1.09 | 8.80 best price | 20.00 best price | 92.5% |
| VBET | 1.10 | 7.40 | 19.00 | 91.2% |
| BEST PRICE | 1.17 | 8.80 | 20.00 | 98.2% |
| SPREAD, LOW TO HIGH | 1.09–1.17 · 7.3% | 6.75–8.80 · 30.4% | 13.00–20.00 · 53.8% | 91.2–92.6% |
How did the Lugano – NSÍ Runavík odds move before kick-off?
The best price on NSÍ Runavík drifted from 14.00 when odds opened on 3 Aug to 20.00 at kick-off, a 42.9% rise.
DATA
| BEST PRICE AT | LUGANO | DRAW | NSÍ RUNAVÍK |
|---|---|---|---|
| Mon 3 Aug (open) | 1.25 | 7.50 | 14.00 |
| Wed 5 Aug | 1.18 | 8.60 | 20.00 |
| Thu 6 Aug (kick-off) | 1.17 | 8.80 | 20.00 |
How many goals did the odds expect?
Both teams to score was priced at 39.0%.
How we calculate
Implied probability is 1 ÷ decimal odds. A bookmaker's match-result probabilities add up to more than 100%; the excess is its margin. We remove each bookmaker's margin proportionally and average the result across every bookmaker that prices all three outcomes.
Payout is 1 ÷ (1/odds₁ + 1/odds₂ + 1/odds₃): the share of all stakes a bookmaker would return across every outcome. Best-price payout uses the highest price on each outcome, wherever it is offered. Prices more than 48 hours old are left out while fresher ones exist.
Odds movement follows the best price on each outcome from the moment at least three bookmakers priced the match, sampled daily.
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