Lech Poznan – KI Klaksvík odds
Lech Poznan went into the match as heavy favourites against KI Klaksvík.
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1st Half
2nd Half
Lech Poznan – KI Klaksvík: closing odds analysis
- Lech Poznan were favourites: the closing odds implied a 81% chance of a home win, 6% for KI Klaksvík and 13% for a draw.
- Best closing odds: Lech Poznan 1.24 at bwin, the draw 8.00 at VBET, KI Klaksvík 17.00 at VBET.
- bwin had the highest closing payout on the match result: 95.2%.
- Odds movement: the best price on the draw drifted from 6.00 at the opening to 8.00 at kick-off.
- The closing odds implied a 39% chance that both teams score.
Who were the favourites, Lech Poznan or KI Klaksvík?
Lech Poznan, by a distance: the closing odds put 74.5 percentage points between the two sides.
Which bookmaker had the best closing odds on Lech Poznan – KI Klaksvík?
It depended on the outcome: bwin was best on Lech Poznan, VBET on the draw and VBET on KI Klaksvík. Across all three outcomes bwin paid out the most (95.2%) and VBET the least (90.8%).
| BOOKMAKER | LECH POZNAN | DRAW | KI KLAKSVÍK | PAYOUT |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| bwin | 1.24 best price | 6.00 | 13.00 | 95.2% |
| Stake | 1.13 | 7.40 | 16.00 | 92.4% |
| VBET | 1.09 | 8.00 best price | 17.00 best price | 90.8% |
| BEST PRICE | 1.24 | 8.00 | 17.00 | 101.0% |
| SPREAD, LOW TO HIGH | 1.09–1.24 · 13.8% | 6.00–8.00 · 33.3% | 13.00–17.00 · 30.8% | 90.8–95.2% |
How did the Lech Poznan – KI Klaksvík odds move before kick-off?
The best price on the draw drifted from 6.00 when odds opened on 31 Jul to 8.00 at kick-off, a 33.3% rise.
DATA
| BEST PRICE AT | LECH POZNAN | DRAW | KI KLAKSVÍK |
|---|---|---|---|
| Fri 31 Jul (open) | 1.28 | 6.00 | 15.00 |
| Mon 3 Aug | 1.28 | 6.80 | 13.00 |
| Thu 6 Aug (kick-off) | 1.24 | 8.00 | 17.00 |
How many goals did the odds expect?
Both teams to score was priced at 39.2%.
How we calculate
Implied probability is 1 ÷ decimal odds. A bookmaker's match-result probabilities add up to more than 100%; the excess is its margin. We remove each bookmaker's margin proportionally and average the result across every bookmaker that prices all three outcomes.
Payout is 1 ÷ (1/odds₁ + 1/odds₂ + 1/odds₃): the share of all stakes a bookmaker would return across every outcome. Best-price payout uses the highest price on each outcome, wherever it is offered. Prices more than 48 hours old are left out while fresher ones exist.
Odds movement follows the best price on each outcome from the moment at least three bookmakers priced the match, sampled daily.
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