IFK Göteborg – Gent odds
Gent went into the match as narrow favourites against IFK Göteborg.
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1st Half
2nd Half
IFK Göteborg – Gent: closing odds analysis
- Gent were favourites: the closing odds implied a 41% chance of an away win, 30% for IFK Göteborg and 29% for a draw.
- Best closing odds: IFK Göteborg 3.10 at bwin, the draw 3.40 at Stake, Gent 2.30 at bwin.
- Stake had the highest closing payout on the match result: 92.8%.
- Odds movement: the best price on IFK Göteborg drifted from 2.85 at the opening to 3.10 at kick-off.
- The closing odds implied a 54% chance that both teams score.
Who were the favourites, IFK Göteborg or Gent?
Gent, but only just: the closing odds put 10.8 percentage points between the two sides.
Which bookmaker had the best closing odds on IFK Göteborg – Gent?
It depended on the outcome: bwin was best on IFK Göteborg, Stake on the draw and bwin on Gent. Across all three outcomes Stake paid out the most (92.8%) and bwin the least (90.4%).
| BOOKMAKER | IFK GÖTEBORG | DRAW | GENT | PAYOUT |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Stake | 3.00 | 3.40 best price | 2.22 | 92.8% |
| VBET | 2.95 | 3.38 | 2.15 | 90.9% |
| bwin | 3.10 best price | 2.87 | 2.30 best price | 90.4% |
| BEST PRICE | 3.10 | 3.40 | 2.30 | 95.1% |
| SPREAD, LOW TO HIGH | 2.95–3.10 · 5.1% | 2.87–3.40 · 18.5% | 2.15–2.30 · 7.0% | 90.4–92.8% |
How did the IFK Göteborg – Gent odds move before kick-off?
The best price on IFK Göteborg drifted from 2.85 when odds opened on 3 Aug to 3.10 at kick-off, a 8.8% rise.
DATA
| BEST PRICE AT | IFK GÖTEBORG | DRAW | GENT |
|---|---|---|---|
| Mon 3 Aug (open) | 2.85 | 3.30 | 2.50 |
| Wed 5 Aug | 3.21 | 3.35 | 2.30 |
| Thu 6 Aug (kick-off) | 3.10 | 3.40 | 2.30 |
How many goals did the odds expect?
Both teams to score was priced at 54.4%.
How we calculate
Implied probability is 1 ÷ decimal odds. A bookmaker's match-result probabilities add up to more than 100%; the excess is its margin. We remove each bookmaker's margin proportionally and average the result across every bookmaker that prices all three outcomes.
Payout is 1 ÷ (1/odds₁ + 1/odds₂ + 1/odds₃): the share of all stakes a bookmaker would return across every outcome. Best-price payout uses the highest price on each outcome, wherever it is offered. Prices more than 48 hours old are left out while fresher ones exist.
Odds movement follows the best price on each outcome from the moment at least three bookmakers priced the match, sampled daily.
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