Hradec Králové – Besiktas odds
Besiktas went into the match as heavy favourites against Hradec Králové.
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1st Half
2nd Half
Hradec Králové – Besiktas: closing odds analysis
- Besiktas were favourites: the closing odds implied a 53% chance of an away win, 20% for Hradec Králové and 27% for a draw.
- Best closing odds: Hradec Králové 4.80 at bwin, the draw 3.66 at VBET, Besiktas 1.85 at bwin.
- VBET had the highest closing payout on the match result: 95.4%.
- Odds movement: the best price on Hradec Králové drifted from 3.55 at the opening to 4.80 at kick-off.
- The closing odds implied a 52% chance that both teams score.
Who were the favourites, Hradec Králové or Besiktas?
Besiktas, by a distance: the closing odds put 33.0 percentage points between the two sides.
Which bookmaker had the best closing odds on Hradec Králové – Besiktas?
It depended on the outcome: bwin was best on Hradec Králové, VBET on the draw and bwin on Besiktas. Across all three outcomes VBET paid out the most (95.4%) and Stake the least (92.9%).
| BOOKMAKER | HRADEC KRÁLOVÉ | DRAW | BESIKTAS | PAYOUT |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| VBET | 4.75 | 3.66 best price | 1.77 | 95.4% |
| bwin | 4.80 best price | 3.25 | 1.85 best price | 94.6% |
| Stake | 4.60 | 3.60 | 1.72 | 92.9% |
| BEST PRICE | 4.80 | 3.66 | 1.85 | 97.8% |
| SPREAD, LOW TO HIGH | 4.60–4.80 · 4.3% | 3.25–3.66 · 12.6% | 1.72–1.85 · 7.6% | 92.9–95.4% |
How did the Hradec Králové – Besiktas odds move before kick-off?
The best price on Hradec Králové drifted from 3.55 when odds opened on 31 Jul to 4.80 at kick-off, a 35.2% rise.
DATA
| BEST PRICE AT | HRADEC KRÁLOVÉ | DRAW | BESIKTAS |
|---|---|---|---|
| Fri 31 Jul (open) | 3.55 | 3.25 | 2.20 |
| Mon 3 Aug | 3.90 | 3.40 | 2.05 |
| Thu 6 Aug (kick-off) | 4.80 | 3.66 | 1.85 |
How many goals did the odds expect?
Both teams to score was priced at 52.3%.
How we calculate
Implied probability is 1 ÷ decimal odds. A bookmaker's match-result probabilities add up to more than 100%; the excess is its margin. We remove each bookmaker's margin proportionally and average the result across every bookmaker that prices all three outcomes.
Payout is 1 ÷ (1/odds₁ + 1/odds₂ + 1/odds₃): the share of all stakes a bookmaker would return across every outcome. Best-price payout uses the highest price on each outcome, wherever it is offered. Prices more than 48 hours old are left out while fresher ones exist.
Odds movement follows the best price on each outcome from the moment at least three bookmakers priced the match, sampled daily.
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