Braga – Dinamo Minsk odds
Braga went into the match as heavy favourites against Dinamo Minsk.
Full Time
1st Half
2nd Half
Braga – Dinamo Minsk: closing odds analysis
- Braga were favourites: the closing odds implied a 79% chance of a home win, 6% for Dinamo Minsk and 14% for a draw.
- Best closing odds: Braga 1.23 at bwin, the draw 7.40 at VBET, Dinamo Minsk 17.00 at Stake.
- bwin had the highest closing payout on the match result: 92.6%.
- Odds movement: the best price on the draw shortened from 7.60 at the opening to 7.40 at kick-off.
- The closing odds implied a 32% chance that both teams score.
Who were the favourites, Braga or Dinamo Minsk?
Braga, by a distance: the closing odds put 73.1 percentage points between the two sides.
Which bookmaker had the best closing odds on Braga – Dinamo Minsk?
It depended on the outcome: bwin was best on Braga, VBET on the draw and Stake on Dinamo Minsk. Across all three outcomes bwin paid out the most (92.6%) and VBET the least (90.7%).
| BOOKMAKER | BRAGA | DRAW | DINAMO MINSK | PAYOUT |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| bwin | 1.23 best price | 5.25 | 13.00 | 92.6% |
| Stake | 1.14 | 6.80 | 17.00 best price | 92.3% |
| VBET | 1.11 | 7.40 best price | 15.00 | 90.7% |
| BEST PRICE | 1.23 | 7.40 | 17.00 | 99.3% |
| SPREAD, LOW TO HIGH | 1.11–1.23 · 10.8% | 5.25–7.40 · 41.0% | 13.00–17.00 · 30.8% | 90.7–92.6% |
How did the Braga – Dinamo Minsk odds move before kick-off?
The best price on the draw shortened from 7.60 when odds opened on 3 Aug to 7.40 at kick-off, a 2.6% drop.
DATA
| BEST PRICE AT | BRAGA | DRAW | DINAMO MINSK |
|---|---|---|---|
| Mon 3 Aug (open) | 1.20 | 7.60 | 17.00 |
| Wed 5 Aug | 1.16 | 8.60 | 23.00 |
| Thu 6 Aug (kick-off) | 1.23 | 7.40 | 17.00 |
How many goals did the odds expect?
Both teams to score was priced at 31.7%.
How we calculate
Implied probability is 1 ÷ decimal odds. A bookmaker's match-result probabilities add up to more than 100%; the excess is its margin. We remove each bookmaker's margin proportionally and average the result across every bookmaker that prices all three outcomes.
Payout is 1 ÷ (1/odds₁ + 1/odds₂ + 1/odds₃): the share of all stakes a bookmaker would return across every outcome. Best-price payout uses the highest price on each outcome, wherever it is offered. Prices more than 48 hours old are left out while fresher ones exist.
Odds movement follows the best price on each outcome from the moment at least three bookmakers priced the match, sampled daily.
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