Bohemians – FC Midtjylland odds
FC Midtjylland went into the match as heavy favourites against Bohemians.
Full Time
1st Half
2nd Half
Bohemians – FC Midtjylland: closing odds analysis
- FC Midtjylland were favourites: the closing odds implied a 61% chance of an away win, 16% for Bohemians and 23% for a draw.
- Best closing odds: Bohemians 6.20 at VBET, the draw 4.40 at Stake, FC Midtjylland 1.57 at bwin.
- VBET had the highest closing payout on the match result: 95.6%.
- Odds movement: the best price on Bohemians shortened from 8.80 at the opening to 6.20 at kick-off.
- The closing odds implied a 54% chance that both teams score.
Who were the favourites, Bohemians or FC Midtjylland?
FC Midtjylland, by a distance: the closing odds put 44.5 percentage points between the two sides.
Which bookmaker had the best closing odds on Bohemians – FC Midtjylland?
It depended on the outcome: VBET was best on Bohemians, Stake on the draw and bwin on FC Midtjylland. Across all three outcomes VBET paid out the most (95.6%) and bwin the least (91.1%).
| BOOKMAKER | BOHEMIANS | DRAW | FC MIDTJYLLAND | PAYOUT |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| VBET | 6.20 best price | 4.40 best price | 1.52 | 95.6% |
| Stake | 5.60 | 4.40 best price | 1.50 | 93.2% |
| bwin | 5.25 | 3.70 | 1.57 best price | 91.1% |
| BEST PRICE | 6.20 | 4.40 | 1.57 | 97.5% |
| SPREAD, LOW TO HIGH | 5.25–6.20 · 18.1% | 3.70–4.40 · 18.9% | 1.50–1.57 · 4.7% | 91.1–95.6% |
How did the Bohemians – FC Midtjylland odds move before kick-off?
The best price on Bohemians shortened from 8.80 when odds opened on 31 Jul to 6.20 at kick-off, a 29.5% drop.
DATA
| BEST PRICE AT | BOHEMIANS | DRAW | FC MIDTJYLLAND |
|---|---|---|---|
| Fri 31 Jul (open) | 8.80 | 4.40 | 1.46 |
| Mon 3 Aug | 8.40 | 5.00 | 1.42 |
| Thu 6 Aug (kick-off) | 6.20 | 4.40 | 1.57 |
How many goals did the odds expect?
Both teams to score was priced at 53.7%.
How we calculate
Implied probability is 1 ÷ decimal odds. A bookmaker's match-result probabilities add up to more than 100%; the excess is its margin. We remove each bookmaker's margin proportionally and average the result across every bookmaker that prices all three outcomes.
Payout is 1 ÷ (1/odds₁ + 1/odds₂ + 1/odds₃): the share of all stakes a bookmaker would return across every outcome. Best-price payout uses the highest price on each outcome, wherever it is offered. Prices more than 48 hours old are left out while fresher ones exist.
Odds movement follows the best price on each outcome from the moment at least three bookmakers priced the match, sampled daily.
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