Panathinaikos – CSKA 1948 Sofia odds
Panathinaikos went into the match as heavy favourites against CSKA 1948 Sofia.
Full Time
1st Half
2nd Half
Panathinaikos – CSKA 1948 Sofia: closing odds analysis
- Panathinaikos were favourites: the closing odds implied a 71% chance of a home win, 9% for CSKA 1948 Sofia and 20% for a draw.
- Best closing odds: Panathinaikos 1.38 at bwin, the draw 5.20 at Stake, CSKA 1948 Sofia 15.00 at VBET.
- VBET had the highest closing payout on the match result: 94.9%.
- Odds movement: the best price on CSKA 1948 Sofia drifted from 8.70 at the opening to 15.00 at kick-off.
- The closing odds implied a 43% chance that both teams score.
Who were the favourites, Panathinaikos or CSKA 1948 Sofia?
Panathinaikos, by a distance: the closing odds put 62.5 percentage points between the two sides.
Which bookmaker had the best closing odds on Panathinaikos – CSKA 1948 Sofia?
It depended on the outcome: bwin was best on Panathinaikos, Stake on the draw and VBET on CSKA 1948 Sofia. Across all three outcomes VBET paid out the most (94.9%) and bwin the least (92.1%).
| BOOKMAKER | PANATHINAIKOS | DRAW | CSKA 1948 SOFIA | PAYOUT |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| VBET | 1.27 | 5.00 | 15.00 best price | 94.9% |
| Stake | 1.27 | 5.20 best price | 9.80 | 92.4% |
| bwin | 1.38 best price | 4.10 | 8.50 | 92.1% |
| BEST PRICE | 1.38 | 5.20 | 15.00 | 101.7% |
| SPREAD, LOW TO HIGH | 1.27–1.38 · 8.7% | 4.10–5.20 · 26.8% | 8.50–15.00 · 76.5% | 92.1–94.9% |
How did the Panathinaikos – CSKA 1948 Sofia odds move before kick-off?
The best price on CSKA 1948 Sofia drifted from 8.70 when odds opened on 2 Aug to 15.00 at kick-off, a 72.4% rise.
DATA
| BEST PRICE AT | PANATHINAIKOS | DRAW | CSKA 1948 SOFIA |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sun 2 Aug (open) | 1.43 | 4.80 | 8.70 |
| Tue 4 Aug | 1.28 | 6.50 | 17.00 |
| Wed 5 Aug (kick-off) | 1.38 | 5.20 | 15.00 |
How many goals did the odds expect?
Both teams to score was priced at 42.8%.
How we calculate
Implied probability is 1 ÷ decimal odds. A bookmaker's match-result probabilities add up to more than 100%; the excess is its margin. We remove each bookmaker's margin proportionally and average the result across every bookmaker that prices all three outcomes.
Payout is 1 ÷ (1/odds₁ + 1/odds₂ + 1/odds₃): the share of all stakes a bookmaker would return across every outcome. Best-price payout uses the highest price on each outcome, wherever it is offered. Prices more than 48 hours old are left out while fresher ones exist.
Odds movement follows the best price on each outcome from the moment at least three bookmakers priced the match, sampled daily.
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