Olympiacos – NEC Nijmegen odds
Olympiacos went into the match as heavy favourites against NEC Nijmegen.
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Olympiacos – NEC Nijmegen: closing odds analysis
- Olympiacos were favourites: the closing odds implied a 57% chance of a home win, 16% for NEC Nijmegen and 27% for a draw.
- Best closing odds: Olympiacos 1.65 at Betano, the draw 3.60 at Betano, NEC Nijmegen 5.90 at Betano.
- Betano had the highest closing payout on the match result: 94.9%.
- The closing odds implied a 52% chance of three or more goals.
Who were the favourites, Olympiacos or NEC Nijmegen?
Olympiacos, by a distance: the closing odds put 40.6 percentage points between the two sides.
Which bookmaker had the best closing odds on Olympiacos – NEC Nijmegen?
Betano, on all three outcomes. Across all three outcomes Betano paid out the most (94.9%) and Casinomoto the least (90.8%).
| BOOKMAKER | OLYMPIACOS | DRAW | NEC NIJMEGEN | PAYOUT |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betano | 1.65 best price | 3.60 best price | 5.90 best price | 94.9% |
| Betoro | 1.61 | 3.40 | 5.66 | 91.6% |
| Casino House | 1.61 | 3.40 | 5.66 | 91.6% |
| Betinia | 1.60 | 3.40 | 5.50 | 90.8% |
| CampoBet | 1.60 | 3.40 | 5.50 | 90.8% |
| Casinomoto | 1.60 | 3.40 | 5.50 | 90.8% |
| BEST PRICE | 1.65 | 3.60 | 5.90 | 94.9% |
| SPREAD, LOW TO HIGH | 1.60–1.65 · 3.1% | 3.40–3.60 · 5.9% | 5.50–5.90 · 7.3% | 90.8–94.9% |
How many goals did the odds expect?
The closing odds were close to an even split on three or more goals.
How we calculate
Implied probability is 1 ÷ decimal odds. A bookmaker's match-result probabilities add up to more than 100%; the excess is its margin. We remove each bookmaker's margin proportionally and average the result across every bookmaker that prices all three outcomes.
Payout is 1 ÷ (1/odds₁ + 1/odds₂ + 1/odds₃): the share of all stakes a bookmaker would return across every outcome. Best-price payout uses the highest price on each outcome, wherever it is offered. Prices more than 48 hours old are left out while fresher ones exist.
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