Levski Sofia – Kairat Almaty odds
Levski Sofia went into the match as heavy favourites against Kairat Almaty.
Full Time
1st Half
2nd Half
Levski Sofia – Kairat Almaty: closing odds analysis
- Levski Sofia were favourites: the closing odds implied a 56% chance of a home win, 16% for Kairat Almaty and 28% for a draw.
- Best closing odds: Levski Sofia 1.80 at bwin, the draw 3.60 at Stake, Kairat Almaty 6.00 at bwin.
- Stake had the highest closing payout on the match result: 94.5%.
- Odds movement: the best price on Kairat Almaty drifted from 4.33 at the opening to 6.00 at kick-off.
- The closing odds implied a 41% chance that both teams score.
Who were the favourites, Levski Sofia or Kairat Almaty?
Levski Sofia, by a distance: the closing odds put 40.7 percentage points between the two sides.
Which bookmaker had the best closing odds on Levski Sofia – Kairat Almaty?
It depended on the outcome: bwin was best on Levski Sofia, Stake on the draw and bwin on Kairat Almaty. Across all three outcomes Stake paid out the most (94.5%) and VBET the least (90.9%).
| BOOKMAKER | LEVSKI SOFIA | DRAW | KAIRAT ALMATY | PAYOUT |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Stake | 1.63 | 3.60 best price | 6.00 best price | 94.5% |
| bwin | 1.80 best price | 2.95 | 6.00 best price | 94.2% |
| VBET | 1.55 | 3.50 | 5.90 | 90.9% |
| BEST PRICE | 1.80 | 3.60 | 6.00 | 100.0% |
| SPREAD, LOW TO HIGH | 1.55–1.80 · 16.1% | 2.95–3.60 · 22.0% | 5.90–6.00 · 1.7% | 90.9–94.5% |
How did the Levski Sofia – Kairat Almaty odds move before kick-off?
The best price on Kairat Almaty drifted from 4.33 when odds opened on 30 Jul to 6.00 at kick-off, a 38.6% rise.
DATA
| BEST PRICE AT | LEVSKI SOFIA | DRAW | KAIRAT ALMATY |
|---|---|---|---|
| Thu 30 Jul (open) | 1.98 | 3.60 | 4.33 |
| Sun 2 Aug | 1.80 | 3.70 | 5.60 |
| Tue 4 Aug (kick-off) | 1.80 | 3.60 | 6.00 |
How many goals did the odds expect?
Both teams to score was priced at 40.7%.
How we calculate
Implied probability is 1 ÷ decimal odds. A bookmaker's match-result probabilities add up to more than 100%; the excess is its margin. We remove each bookmaker's margin proportionally and average the result across every bookmaker that prices all three outcomes.
Payout is 1 ÷ (1/odds₁ + 1/odds₂ + 1/odds₃): the share of all stakes a bookmaker would return across every outcome. Best-price payout uses the highest price on each outcome, wherever it is offered. Prices more than 48 hours old are left out while fresher ones exist.
Odds movement follows the best price on each outcome from the moment at least three bookmakers priced the match, sampled daily.
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