Larne – Iberia 1999 odds
Larne and Iberia 1999 went into the match almost level in the odds.
Full Time
1st Half
2nd Half
Larne – Iberia 1999: closing odds analysis
- No clear favourite: the closing odds implied 36% for Larne, 31% for a draw and 33% for Iberia 1999.
- Best closing odds: Larne 2.70 at bwin, the draw 3.10 at Stake, Iberia 1999 3.00 at bwin.
- bwin had the highest closing payout on the match result: 94.3%.
- Odds movement: the best price on Iberia 1999 drifted from 2.45 at the opening to 3.00 at kick-off.
- The closing odds implied a 49% chance that both teams score.
Who were the favourites, Larne or Iberia 1999?
Neither side, really: the closing odds put only 2.8 percentage points between Larne and Iberia 1999.
Which bookmaker had the best closing odds on Larne – Iberia 1999?
It depended on the outcome: bwin was best on Larne, Stake on the draw and bwin on Iberia 1999. Across all three outcomes bwin paid out the most (94.3%) and VBET the least (90.9%).
| BOOKMAKER | LARNE | DRAW | IBERIA 1999 | PAYOUT |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| bwin | 2.70 best price | 2.80 | 3.00 best price | 94.3% |
| Stake | 2.60 | 3.10 best price | 2.70 | 92.8% |
| VBET | 2.48 | 2.99 | 2.76 | 90.9% |
| BEST PRICE | 2.70 | 3.10 | 3.00 | 97.4% |
| SPREAD, LOW TO HIGH | 2.48–2.70 · 8.9% | 2.80–3.10 · 10.7% | 2.70–3.00 · 11.1% | 90.9–94.3% |
How did the Larne – Iberia 1999 odds move before kick-off?
The best price on Iberia 1999 drifted from 2.45 when odds opened on 1 Aug to 3.00 at kick-off, a 22.4% rise.
DATA
| BEST PRICE AT | LARNE | DRAW | IBERIA 1999 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sat 1 Aug (open) | 3.30 | 3.15 | 2.45 |
| Mon 3 Aug | 3.30 | 3.20 | 2.40 |
| Tue 4 Aug (kick-off) | 2.70 | 3.10 | 3.00 |
How many goals did the odds expect?
Both teams to score was priced at 48.6%.
How we calculate
Implied probability is 1 ÷ decimal odds. A bookmaker's match-result probabilities add up to more than 100%; the excess is its margin. We remove each bookmaker's margin proportionally and average the result across every bookmaker that prices all three outcomes.
Payout is 1 ÷ (1/odds₁ + 1/odds₂ + 1/odds₃): the share of all stakes a bookmaker would return across every outcome. Best-price payout uses the highest price on each outcome, wherever it is offered. Prices more than 48 hours old are left out while fresher ones exist.
Odds movement follows the best price on each outcome from the moment at least three bookmakers priced the match, sampled daily.
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