Dinamo Zagreb – Žalgiris Kaunas odds
Dinamo Zagreb went into the match as heavy favourites against Žalgiris Kaunas.
Full Time
1st Half
2nd Half
Dinamo Zagreb – Žalgiris Kaunas: closing odds analysis
- Dinamo Zagreb were favourites: the closing odds implied a 79% chance of a home win, 7% for Žalgiris Kaunas and 14% for a draw.
- Best closing odds: Dinamo Zagreb 1.27 at bwin, the draw 7.40 at VBET, Žalgiris Kaunas 16.00 at Stake.
- bwin had the highest closing payout on the match result: 95.0%.
- Odds movement: the best price on the draw drifted from 5.60 at the opening to 7.40 at kick-off.
- The closing odds implied a 36% chance that both teams score.
Who were the favourites, Dinamo Zagreb or Žalgiris Kaunas?
Dinamo Zagreb, by a distance: the closing odds put 72.1 percentage points between the two sides.
Which bookmaker had the best closing odds on Dinamo Zagreb – Žalgiris Kaunas?
It depended on the outcome: bwin was best on Dinamo Zagreb, VBET on the draw and Stake on Žalgiris Kaunas. Across all three outcomes bwin paid out the most (95.0%) and VBET the least (91.0%).
| BOOKMAKER | DINAMO ZAGREB | DRAW | ŽALGIRIS KAUNAS | PAYOUT |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| bwin | 1.27 best price | 5.50 | 12.00 | 95.0% |
| Stake | 1.17 | 7.00 | 16.00 best price | 94.3% |
| VBET | 1.12 | 7.40 best price | 14.00 | 91.0% |
| BEST PRICE | 1.27 | 7.40 | 16.00 | 101.5% |
| SPREAD, LOW TO HIGH | 1.12–1.27 · 13.4% | 5.50–7.40 · 34.5% | 12.00–16.00 · 33.3% | 91.0–95.0% |
How did the Dinamo Zagreb – Žalgiris Kaunas odds move before kick-off?
The best price on the draw drifted from 5.60 when odds opened on 30 Jul to 7.40 at kick-off, a 32.1% rise.
DATA
| BEST PRICE AT | DINAMO ZAGREB | DRAW | ŽALGIRIS KAUNAS |
|---|---|---|---|
| Thu 30 Jul (open) | 1.35 | 5.60 | 16.00 |
| Sun 2 Aug | 1.26 | 7.40 | 17.00 |
| Tue 4 Aug (kick-off) | 1.27 | 7.40 | 16.00 |
How many goals did the odds expect?
Both teams to score was priced at 35.8%.
How we calculate
Implied probability is 1 ÷ decimal odds. A bookmaker's match-result probabilities add up to more than 100%; the excess is its margin. We remove each bookmaker's margin proportionally and average the result across every bookmaker that prices all three outcomes.
Payout is 1 ÷ (1/odds₁ + 1/odds₂ + 1/odds₃): the share of all stakes a bookmaker would return across every outcome. Best-price payout uses the highest price on each outcome, wherever it is offered. Prices more than 48 hours old are left out while fresher ones exist.
Odds movement follows the best price on each outcome from the moment at least three bookmakers priced the match, sampled daily.
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