Ararat-Armenia – Celje odds
Celje went into the match as narrow favourites against Ararat-Armenia.
Full Time
1st Half
2nd Half
Ararat-Armenia – Celje: closing odds analysis
- Celje were favourites: the closing odds implied a 37% chance of an away win, 33% for Ararat-Armenia and 30% for a draw.
- Best closing odds: Ararat-Armenia 3.00 at bwin, the draw 3.36 at VBET, Celje 2.65 at bwin.
- VBET had the highest closing payout on the match result: 95.3%.
- Odds movement: the best price on the draw drifted from 3.25 at the opening to 3.36 at kick-off.
- The closing odds implied a 53% chance that both teams score.
Who were the favourites, Ararat-Armenia or Celje?
Celje, but only just: the closing odds put 4.6 percentage points between the two sides.
Which bookmaker had the best closing odds on Ararat-Armenia – Celje?
It depended on the outcome: bwin was best on Ararat-Armenia, VBET on the draw and bwin on Celje. Across all three outcomes VBET paid out the most (95.3%) and Stake the least (94.1%).
| BOOKMAKER | ARARAT-ARMENIA | DRAW | CELJE | PAYOUT |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| VBET | 2.82 | 3.36 best price | 2.52 | 95.3% |
| bwin | 3.00 best price | 2.85 | 2.65 best price | 94.2% |
| Stake | 2.90 | 3.20 | 2.47 | 94.1% |
| BEST PRICE | 3.00 | 3.36 | 2.65 | 99.2% |
| SPREAD, LOW TO HIGH | 2.82–3.00 · 6.4% | 2.85–3.36 · 17.9% | 2.47–2.65 · 7.3% | 94.1–95.3% |
How did the Ararat-Armenia – Celje odds move before kick-off?
The best price on the draw drifted from 3.25 when odds opened on 30 Jul to 3.36 at kick-off, a 3.4% rise.
DATA
| BEST PRICE AT | ARARAT-ARMENIA | DRAW | CELJE |
|---|---|---|---|
| Thu 30 Jul (open) | 3.00 | 3.25 | 2.60 |
| Sun 2 Aug | 2.95 | 3.30 | 2.55 |
| Tue 4 Aug (kick-off) | 3.00 | 3.36 | 2.65 |
How many goals did the odds expect?
Both teams to score was priced at 52.8%.
How we calculate
Implied probability is 1 ÷ decimal odds. A bookmaker's match-result probabilities add up to more than 100%; the excess is its margin. We remove each bookmaker's margin proportionally and average the result across every bookmaker that prices all three outcomes.
Payout is 1 ÷ (1/odds₁ + 1/odds₂ + 1/odds₃): the share of all stakes a bookmaker would return across every outcome. Best-price payout uses the highest price on each outcome, wherever it is offered. Prices more than 48 hours old are left out while fresher ones exist.
Odds movement follows the best price on each outcome from the moment at least three bookmakers priced the match, sampled daily.
More Champions League odds
- Arsenal – Borussia DortmundTue 24 Nov · 21:00
- Feyenoord – PortoTue 24 Nov · 21:00
- RB Leipzig – LensTue 24 Nov · 21:00
- Real Madrid – PSVTue 24 Nov · 21:00
- Sabah – BarcelonaWed 25 Nov · 18:45
- Atlético Madrid – VikingWed 25 Nov · 21:00
- Club Brugge – LiverpoolWed 25 Nov · 21:00
- Inter – StuttgartWed 25 Nov · 21:00
- Lille – Bayern MunichWed 25 Nov · 21:00
- Paris Saint-Germain – RomaWed 25 Nov · 21:00
- Shakhtar Donetsk – FenerbahçeWed 25 Nov · 21:00
- Sporting CP – Man UtdWed 25 Nov · 21:00
- Champions League odds ›
The odds imply probabilities; they are not predictions. OddsStat is a comparison service, not a bookmaker. 18+ · Gamble responsibly.