FC Nordsjælland – Randers FC odds
FC Nordsjælland went into the match as heavy favourites against Randers FC.
Full Time
1st Half
2nd Half
FC Nordsjælland – Randers FC: closing odds analysis
- FC Nordsjælland were favourites: the closing odds implied a 60% chance of a home win, 18% for Randers FC and 22% for a draw.
- Best closing odds: FC Nordsjælland 1.58 at bwin, the draw 4.40 at Stake, Randers FC 5.20 at VBET.
- Stake had the highest closing payout on the match result: 94.3%.
- Odds movement: the best price on Randers FC drifted from 4.40 at the opening to 5.20 at kick-off.
- The closing odds implied a 59% chance that both teams score.
Who were the favourites, FC Nordsjælland or Randers FC?
FC Nordsjælland, by a distance: the closing odds put 41.3 percentage points between the two sides.
Which bookmaker had the best closing odds on FC Nordsjælland – Randers FC?
It depended on the outcome: bwin was best on FC Nordsjælland, Stake on the draw and VBET on Randers FC. Across all three outcomes Stake paid out the most (94.3%) and VBET the least (93.2%).
| BOOKMAKER | FC NORDSJÆLLAND | DRAW | RANDERS FC | PAYOUT |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Stake | 1.58 best price | 4.40 best price | 5.00 | 94.3% |
| bwin | 1.58 best price | 4.20 | 5.00 | 93.4% |
| VBET | 1.54 | 4.33 | 5.20 best price | 93.2% |
| BEST PRICE | 1.58 | 4.40 | 5.20 | 95.0% |
| SPREAD, LOW TO HIGH | 1.54–1.58 · 2.6% | 4.20–4.40 · 4.8% | 5.00–5.20 · 4.0% | 93.2–94.3% |
How did the FC Nordsjælland – Randers FC odds move before kick-off?
The best price on Randers FC drifted from 4.40 when odds opened on 27 Jul to 5.20 at kick-off, a 18.2% rise.
DATA
| BEST PRICE AT | FC NORDSJÆLLAND | DRAW | RANDERS FC |
|---|---|---|---|
| Mon 27 Jul (open) | 1.73 | 3.95 | 4.40 |
| Thu 30 Jul | 1.73 | 3.95 | 4.40 |
| Sun 2 Aug (kick-off) | 1.58 | 4.40 | 5.20 |
How many goals did the odds expect?
Both teams to score was priced at 59.1%.
How we calculate
Implied probability is 1 ÷ decimal odds. A bookmaker's match-result probabilities add up to more than 100%; the excess is its margin. We remove each bookmaker's margin proportionally and average the result across every bookmaker that prices all three outcomes.
Payout is 1 ÷ (1/odds₁ + 1/odds₂ + 1/odds₃): the share of all stakes a bookmaker would return across every outcome. Best-price payout uses the highest price on each outcome, wherever it is offered. Prices more than 48 hours old are left out while fresher ones exist.
Odds movement follows the best price on each outcome from the moment at least three bookmakers priced the match, sampled daily.
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