Lyngby BK – AGF odds
AGF went into the match as narrow favourites against Lyngby BK.
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2nd Half
Lyngby BK – AGF: closing odds analysis
- AGF were favourites: the closing odds implied a 39% chance of an away win, 34% for Lyngby BK and 27% for a draw.
- Best closing odds: Lyngby BK 2.78 at VBET, the draw 3.51 at VBET, AGF 2.47 at VBET.
- VBET had the highest closing payout on the match result: 95.3%.
- Odds movement: the best price on AGF drifted from 1.89 at the opening to 2.47 at kick-off.
- The closing odds implied a 61% chance that both teams score.
Who were the favourites, Lyngby BK or AGF?
AGF, but only just: the closing odds put 4.4 percentage points between the two sides.
Which bookmaker had the best closing odds on Lyngby BK – AGF?
VBET, on all three outcomes. Across all three outcomes VBET paid out the most (95.3%) and bwin the least (92.5%).
| BOOKMAKER | LYNGBY BK | DRAW | AGF | PAYOUT |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| VBET | 2.78 best price | 3.51 best price | 2.47 best price | 95.3% |
| Stake | 2.75 | 3.50 | 2.43 | 94.3% |
| bwin | 2.70 | 3.40 | 2.40 | 92.5% |
| BEST PRICE | 2.78 | 3.51 | 2.47 | 95.3% |
| SPREAD, LOW TO HIGH | 2.70–2.78 · 3.0% | 3.40–3.51 · 3.2% | 2.40–2.47 · 2.9% | 92.5–95.3% |
How did the Lyngby BK – AGF odds move before kick-off?
The best price on AGF drifted from 1.89 when odds opened on 26 Jul to 2.47 at kick-off, a 30.7% rise.
DATA
| BEST PRICE AT | LYNGBY BK | DRAW | AGF |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sun 26 Jul (open) | 3.95 | 3.70 | 1.89 |
| Wed 29 Jul | 3.65 | 3.70 | 1.96 |
| Sat 1 Aug (kick-off) | 2.78 | 3.51 | 2.47 |
How many goals did the odds expect?
Both teams to score was priced at 61.2%.
How we calculate
Implied probability is 1 ÷ decimal odds. A bookmaker's match-result probabilities add up to more than 100%; the excess is its margin. We remove each bookmaker's margin proportionally and average the result across every bookmaker that prices all three outcomes.
Payout is 1 ÷ (1/odds₁ + 1/odds₂ + 1/odds₃): the share of all stakes a bookmaker would return across every outcome. Best-price payout uses the highest price on each outcome, wherever it is offered. Prices more than 48 hours old are left out while fresher ones exist.
Odds movement follows the best price on each outcome from the moment at least three bookmakers priced the match, sampled daily.
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