Zrinjski Mostar – Valur odds
Zrinjski Mostar went into the match as heavy favourites against Valur.
Full Time
1st Half
2nd Half
Zrinjski Mostar – Valur: closing odds analysis
- Zrinjski Mostar were favourites: the closing odds implied a 74% chance of a home win, 8% for Valur and 17% for a draw.
- Best closing odds: Zrinjski Mostar 1.32 at bwin, the draw 6.20 at Stake, Valur 14.00 at VBET.
- Stake had the highest closing payout on the match result: 92.8%.
- Odds movement: the best price on Valur drifted from 7.10 at the opening to 14.00 at kick-off.
- The closing odds implied a 46% chance that both teams score.
Who were the favourites, Zrinjski Mostar or Valur?
Zrinjski Mostar, by a distance: the closing odds put 65.9 percentage points between the two sides.
Which bookmaker had the best closing odds on Zrinjski Mostar – Valur?
It depended on the outcome: bwin was best on Zrinjski Mostar, Stake on the draw and VBET on Valur. Across all three outcomes Stake paid out the most (92.8%) and VBET the least (90.8%).
| BOOKMAKER | ZRINJSKI MOSTAR | DRAW | VALUR | PAYOUT |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Stake | 1.20 | 6.20 best price | 12.00 | 92.8% |
| bwin | 1.32 best price | 4.75 | 8.50 | 92.1% |
| VBET | 1.20 | 5.10 | 14.00 best price | 90.8% |
| BEST PRICE | 1.32 | 6.20 | 14.00 | 101.0% |
| SPREAD, LOW TO HIGH | 1.20–1.32 · 10.0% | 4.75–6.20 · 30.5% | 8.50–14.00 · 64.7% | 90.8–92.8% |
How did the Zrinjski Mostar – Valur odds move before kick-off?
The best price on Valur drifted from 7.10 when odds opened on 26 Jul to 14.00 at kick-off, a 97.2% rise.
DATA
| BEST PRICE AT | ZRINJSKI MOSTAR | DRAW | VALUR |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sun 26 Jul (open) | 1.49 | 4.40 | 7.10 |
| Tue 28 Jul | 1.34 | 5.80 | 11.00 |
| Thu 30 Jul (kick-off) | 1.32 | 6.20 | 14.00 |
How many goals did the odds expect?
Both teams to score was priced at 45.5%.
How we calculate
Implied probability is 1 ÷ decimal odds. A bookmaker's match-result probabilities add up to more than 100%; the excess is its margin. We remove each bookmaker's margin proportionally and average the result across every bookmaker that prices all three outcomes.
Payout is 1 ÷ (1/odds₁ + 1/odds₂ + 1/odds₃): the share of all stakes a bookmaker would return across every outcome. Best-price payout uses the highest price on each outcome, wherever it is offered. Prices more than 48 hours old are left out while fresher ones exist.
Odds movement follows the best price on each outcome from the moment at least three bookmakers priced the match, sampled daily.
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