Panathinaikos – Paksi odds
Panathinaikos went into the match as heavy favourites against Paksi.
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1st Half
2nd Half
Panathinaikos – Paksi: closing odds analysis
- Panathinaikos were favourites: the closing odds implied a 73% chance of a home win, 10% for Paksi and 16% for a draw.
- Best closing odds: Panathinaikos 1.35 at bwin, the draw 6.80 at VBET, Paksi 10.00 at VBET.
- Stake had the highest closing payout on the match result: 92.8%.
- Odds movement: the best price on the draw drifted from 5.40 at the opening to 6.80 at kick-off.
- The closing odds implied a 48% chance that both teams score.
Who were the favourites, Panathinaikos or Paksi?
Panathinaikos, by a distance: the closing odds put 63.1 percentage points between the two sides.
Which bookmaker had the best closing odds on Panathinaikos – Paksi?
It depended on the outcome: bwin was best on Panathinaikos, VBET on the draw and VBET on Paksi. Across all three outcomes Stake paid out the most (92.8%) and VBET the least (90.8%).
| BOOKMAKER | PANATHINAIKOS | DRAW | PAKSI | PAYOUT |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Stake | 1.24 | 6.00 | 9.60 | 92.8% |
| bwin | 1.35 best price | 4.60 | 7.50 | 91.6% |
| VBET | 1.17 | 6.80 best price | 10.00 best price | 90.8% |
| BEST PRICE | 1.35 | 6.80 | 10.00 | 101.2% |
| SPREAD, LOW TO HIGH | 1.17–1.35 · 15.4% | 4.60–6.80 · 47.8% | 7.50–10.00 · 33.3% | 90.8–92.8% |
How did the Panathinaikos – Paksi odds move before kick-off?
The best price on the draw drifted from 5.40 when odds opened on 26 Jul to 6.80 at kick-off, a 25.9% rise.
DATA
| BEST PRICE AT | PANATHINAIKOS | DRAW | PAKSI |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sun 26 Jul (open) | 1.37 | 5.40 | 9.20 |
| Tue 28 Jul | 1.36 | 5.40 | 9.00 |
| Thu 30 Jul (kick-off) | 1.35 | 6.80 | 10.00 |
How many goals did the odds expect?
Both teams to score was priced at 48.0%.
How we calculate
Implied probability is 1 ÷ decimal odds. A bookmaker's match-result probabilities add up to more than 100%; the excess is its margin. We remove each bookmaker's margin proportionally and average the result across every bookmaker that prices all three outcomes.
Payout is 1 ÷ (1/odds₁ + 1/odds₂ + 1/odds₃): the share of all stakes a bookmaker would return across every outcome. Best-price payout uses the highest price on each outcome, wherever it is offered. Prices more than 48 hours old are left out while fresher ones exist.
Odds movement follows the best price on each outcome from the moment at least three bookmakers priced the match, sampled daily.
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