Pafos – Hajduk Split odds
Pafos went into the match as heavy favourites against Hajduk Split.
Full Time
1st Half
2nd Half
Pafos – Hajduk Split: closing odds analysis
- Pafos were favourites: the closing odds implied a 51% chance of a home win, 21% for Hajduk Split and 28% for a draw.
- Best closing odds: Pafos 1.93 at bwin, the draw 3.60 at Stake, Hajduk Split 4.50 at bwin.
- bwin had the highest closing payout on the match result: 94.1%.
- Odds movement: the best price on Hajduk Split drifted from 4.10 at the opening to 4.50 at kick-off.
- The closing odds implied a 52% chance that both teams score.
Who were the favourites, Pafos or Hajduk Split?
Pafos, by a distance: the closing odds put 29.8 percentage points between the two sides.
Which bookmaker had the best closing odds on Pafos – Hajduk Split?
It depended on the outcome: bwin was best on Pafos, Stake on the draw and bwin on Hajduk Split. Across all three outcomes bwin paid out the most (94.1%) and VBET the least (91.0%).
| BOOKMAKER | PAFOS | DRAW | HAJDUK SPLIT | PAYOUT |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| bwin | 1.93 best price | 3.10 | 4.50 best price | 94.1% |
| Stake | 1.78 | 3.60 best price | 4.20 | 92.8% |
| VBET | 1.73 | 3.45 | 4.33 | 91.0% |
| BEST PRICE | 1.93 | 3.60 | 4.50 | 98.2% |
| SPREAD, LOW TO HIGH | 1.73–1.93 · 11.6% | 3.10–3.60 · 16.1% | 4.20–4.50 · 7.1% | 91.0–94.1% |
How did the Pafos – Hajduk Split odds move before kick-off?
The best price on Hajduk Split drifted from 4.10 when odds opened on 25 Jul to 4.50 at kick-off, a 9.8% rise.
DATA
| BEST PRICE AT | PAFOS | DRAW | HAJDUK SPLIT |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sat 25 Jul (open) | 1.93 | 3.65 | 4.10 |
| Tue 28 Jul | 2.00 | 3.81 | 4.10 |
| Thu 30 Jul (kick-off) | 1.93 | 3.60 | 4.50 |
How many goals did the odds expect?
Both teams to score was priced at 52.2%.
How we calculate
Implied probability is 1 ÷ decimal odds. A bookmaker's match-result probabilities add up to more than 100%; the excess is its margin. We remove each bookmaker's margin proportionally and average the result across every bookmaker that prices all three outcomes.
Payout is 1 ÷ (1/odds₁ + 1/odds₂ + 1/odds₃): the share of all stakes a bookmaker would return across every outcome. Best-price payout uses the highest price on each outcome, wherever it is offered. Prices more than 48 hours old are left out while fresher ones exist.
Odds movement follows the best price on each outcome from the moment at least three bookmakers priced the match, sampled daily.
More Europa League odds
- Besiktas – Hapoel Be'er ShevaThu 26 Nov · 18:45
- Celta Vigo – BournemouthThu 26 Nov · 18:45
- Dinamo Zagreb – Bayer LeverkusenThu 26 Nov · 18:45
- Marseille – Levski SofiaThu 26 Nov · 18:45
- Olympiacos – AC MilanThu 26 Nov · 18:45
- Red Bull Salzburg – Ararat-ArmeniaThu 26 Nov · 18:45
- Union Saint-Gilloise – Lech PoznanThu 26 Nov · 18:45
- Viktoria Plzeň – BenficaThu 26 Nov · 18:45
- Crystal Palace – Real SociedadThu 26 Nov · 21:00
- Ferencváros – CeljeThu 26 Nov · 21:00
- Hoffenheim – Sturm GrazThu 26 Nov · 21:00
- Juventus – Omonia NicosiaThu 26 Nov · 21:00
- Lyon – LillestrømThu 26 Nov · 21:00
- NEC Nijmegen – RennesThu 26 Nov · 21:00
- OFI Crete – AnderlechtThu 26 Nov · 21:00
- Sparta Prague – AZ AlkmaarThu 26 Nov · 21:00
- Sunderland – Jagiellonia BiałystokThu 26 Nov · 21:00
- Torreense – CelticThu 26 Nov · 21:00
- Europa League odds ›
The odds imply probabilities; they are not predictions. OddsStat is a comparison service, not a bookmaker. 18+ · Gamble responsibly.