Maccabi Tel Aviv – Sheriff Tiraspol odds
Maccabi Tel Aviv went into the match as heavy favourites against Sheriff Tiraspol.
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1st Half
2nd Half
Maccabi Tel Aviv – Sheriff Tiraspol: closing odds analysis
- Maccabi Tel Aviv were favourites: the closing odds implied a 71% chance of a home win, 10% for Sheriff Tiraspol and 18% for a draw.
- Best closing odds: Maccabi Tel Aviv 1.42 at bwin, the draw 5.50 at VBET, Sheriff Tiraspol 10.00 at VBET.
- bwin had the highest closing payout on the match result: 94.7%.
- Odds movement: the best price on Sheriff Tiraspol drifted from 5.80 at the opening to 10.00 at kick-off.
- The closing odds implied a 48% chance that both teams score.
Who were the favourites, Maccabi Tel Aviv or Sheriff Tiraspol?
Maccabi Tel Aviv, by a distance: the closing odds put 60.7 percentage points between the two sides.
Which bookmaker had the best closing odds on Maccabi Tel Aviv – Sheriff Tiraspol?
It depended on the outcome: bwin was best on Maccabi Tel Aviv, VBET on the draw and VBET on Sheriff Tiraspol. Across all three outcomes bwin paid out the most (94.7%) and VBET the least (90.8%).
| BOOKMAKER | MACCABI TEL AVIV | DRAW | SHERIFF TIRASPOL | PAYOUT |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| bwin | 1.42 best price | 4.40 | 8.00 | 94.7% |
| Stake | 1.28 | 5.40 | 8.80 | 92.6% |
| VBET | 1.22 | 5.50 best price | 10.00 best price | 90.8% |
| BEST PRICE | 1.42 | 5.50 | 10.00 | 101.4% |
| SPREAD, LOW TO HIGH | 1.22–1.42 · 16.4% | 4.40–5.50 · 25.0% | 8.00–10.00 · 25.0% | 90.8–94.7% |
How did the Maccabi Tel Aviv – Sheriff Tiraspol odds move before kick-off?
The best price on Sheriff Tiraspol drifted from 5.80 when odds opened on 25 Jul to 10.00 at kick-off, a 72.4% rise.
DATA
| BEST PRICE AT | MACCABI TEL AVIV | DRAW | SHERIFF TIRASPOL |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sat 25 Jul (open) | 1.61 | 4.30 | 5.80 |
| Tue 28 Jul | 1.44 | 4.90 | 7.60 |
| Thu 30 Jul (kick-off) | 1.42 | 5.50 | 10.00 |
How many goals did the odds expect?
Both teams to score was priced at 47.9%.
How we calculate
Implied probability is 1 ÷ decimal odds. A bookmaker's match-result probabilities add up to more than 100%; the excess is its margin. We remove each bookmaker's margin proportionally and average the result across every bookmaker that prices all three outcomes.
Payout is 1 ÷ (1/odds₁ + 1/odds₂ + 1/odds₃): the share of all stakes a bookmaker would return across every outcome. Best-price payout uses the highest price on each outcome, wherever it is offered. Prices more than 48 hours old are left out while fresher ones exist.
Odds movement follows the best price on each outcome from the moment at least three bookmakers priced the match, sampled daily.
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