Ludogorets Razgrad – Hapoel Tel Aviv odds
Ludogorets Razgrad went into the match as heavy favourites against Hapoel Tel Aviv.
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1st Half
2nd Half
Ludogorets Razgrad – Hapoel Tel Aviv: closing odds analysis
- Ludogorets Razgrad were favourites: the closing odds implied a 48% chance of a home win, 22% for Hapoel Tel Aviv and 29% for a draw.
- Best closing odds: Ludogorets Razgrad 1.98 at bwin, the draw 3.45 at Stake, Hapoel Tel Aviv 4.30 at VBET.
- Stake had the highest closing payout on the match result: 92.8%.
- Odds movement: the best price on the draw shortened from 3.74 at the opening to 3.45 at kick-off.
- The closing odds implied a 53% chance that both teams score.
Who were the favourites, Ludogorets Razgrad or Hapoel Tel Aviv?
Ludogorets Razgrad, by a distance: the closing odds put 25.7 percentage points between the two sides.
Which bookmaker had the best closing odds on Ludogorets Razgrad – Hapoel Tel Aviv?
It depended on the outcome: bwin was best on Ludogorets Razgrad, Stake on the draw and VBET on Hapoel Tel Aviv. Across all three outcomes Stake paid out the most (92.8%) and VBET the least (90.9%).
| BOOKMAKER | LUDOGORETS RAZGRAD | DRAW | HAPOEL TEL AVIV | PAYOUT |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Stake | 1.87 | 3.45 best price | 3.95 | 92.8% |
| bwin | 1.98 best price | 2.95 | 4.00 | 91.4% |
| VBET | 1.86 | 3.03 | 4.30 best price | 90.9% |
| BEST PRICE | 1.98 | 3.45 | 4.30 | 97.3% |
| SPREAD, LOW TO HIGH | 1.86–1.98 · 6.5% | 2.95–3.45 · 16.9% | 3.95–4.30 · 8.9% | 90.9–92.8% |
How did the Ludogorets Razgrad – Hapoel Tel Aviv odds move before kick-off?
The best price on the draw shortened from 3.74 when odds opened on 27 Jul to 3.45 at kick-off, a 7.8% drop.
DATA
| BEST PRICE AT | LUDOGORETS RAZGRAD | DRAW | HAPOEL TEL AVIV |
|---|---|---|---|
| Mon 27 Jul (open) | 1.88 | 3.74 | 4.00 |
| Wed 29 Jul | 1.88 | 3.75 | 4.20 |
| Thu 30 Jul (kick-off) | 1.98 | 3.45 | 4.30 |
How many goals did the odds expect?
Both teams to score was priced at 53.3%.
How we calculate
Implied probability is 1 ÷ decimal odds. A bookmaker's match-result probabilities add up to more than 100%; the excess is its margin. We remove each bookmaker's margin proportionally and average the result across every bookmaker that prices all three outcomes.
Payout is 1 ÷ (1/odds₁ + 1/odds₂ + 1/odds₃): the share of all stakes a bookmaker would return across every outcome. Best-price payout uses the highest price on each outcome, wherever it is offered. Prices more than 48 hours old are left out while fresher ones exist.
Odds movement follows the best price on each outcome from the moment at least three bookmakers priced the match, sampled daily.
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