Levadia Tallinn – IFK Göteborg odds
IFK Göteborg went into the match as narrow favourites against Levadia Tallinn.
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1st Half
2nd Half
Levadia Tallinn – IFK Göteborg: closing odds analysis
- IFK Göteborg were favourites: the closing odds implied a 39% chance of an away win, 34% for Levadia Tallinn and 27% for a draw.
- Best closing odds: Levadia Tallinn 2.70 at bwin, the draw 3.65 at Stake, IFK Göteborg 2.50 at bwin.
- Stake had the highest closing payout on the match result: 92.8%.
- Odds movement: the best price on IFK Göteborg drifted from 2.15 at the opening to 2.50 at kick-off.
- The closing odds implied a 62% chance that both teams score.
Who were the favourites, Levadia Tallinn or IFK Göteborg?
IFK Göteborg, but only just: the closing odds put 4.5 percentage points between the two sides.
Which bookmaker had the best closing odds on Levadia Tallinn – IFK Göteborg?
It depended on the outcome: bwin was best on Levadia Tallinn, Stake on the draw and bwin on IFK Göteborg. Across all three outcomes Stake paid out the most (92.8%) and bwin the least (90.6%).
| BOOKMAKER | LEVADIA TALLINN | DRAW | IFK GÖTEBORG | PAYOUT |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Stake | 2.70 best price | 3.65 best price | 2.31 | 92.8% |
| VBET | 2.61 | 3.59 | 2.28 | 90.9% |
| bwin | 2.70 best price | 3.00 | 2.50 best price | 90.6% |
| BEST PRICE | 2.70 | 3.65 | 2.50 | 95.8% |
| SPREAD, LOW TO HIGH | 2.61–2.70 · 3.4% | 3.00–3.65 · 21.7% | 2.28–2.50 · 9.6% | 90.6–92.8% |
How did the Levadia Tallinn – IFK Göteborg odds move before kick-off?
The best price on IFK Göteborg drifted from 2.15 when odds opened on 26 Jul to 2.50 at kick-off, a 16.3% rise.
DATA
| BEST PRICE AT | LEVADIA TALLINN | DRAW | IFK GÖTEBORG |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sun 26 Jul (open) | 3.00 | 3.70 | 2.15 |
| Tue 28 Jul | 3.10 | 3.60 | 2.15 |
| Thu 30 Jul (kick-off) | 2.70 | 3.65 | 2.50 |
How many goals did the odds expect?
Both teams to score was priced at 62.3%.
How we calculate
Implied probability is 1 ÷ decimal odds. A bookmaker's match-result probabilities add up to more than 100%; the excess is its margin. We remove each bookmaker's margin proportionally and average the result across every bookmaker that prices all three outcomes.
Payout is 1 ÷ (1/odds₁ + 1/odds₂ + 1/odds₃): the share of all stakes a bookmaker would return across every outcome. Best-price payout uses the highest price on each outcome, wherever it is offered. Prices more than 48 hours old are left out while fresher ones exist.
Odds movement follows the best price on each outcome from the moment at least three bookmakers priced the match, sampled daily.
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