Inter Turku – Istanbul Basaksehir odds
Istanbul Basaksehir went into the match as heavy favourites against Inter Turku.
Full Time
1st Half
2nd Half
Inter Turku – Istanbul Basaksehir: closing odds analysis
- Istanbul Basaksehir were favourites: the closing odds implied a 51% chance of an away win, 23% for Inter Turku and 26% for a draw.
- Best closing odds: Inter Turku 4.10 at Stake, the draw 3.77 at VBET, Istanbul Basaksehir 1.90 at bwin.
- Stake had the highest closing payout on the match result: 92.6%.
- Odds movement: the best price on Inter Turku shortened from 4.60 at the opening to 4.10 at kick-off.
- The closing odds implied a 55% chance that both teams score.
Who were the favourites, Inter Turku or Istanbul Basaksehir?
Istanbul Basaksehir, by a distance: the closing odds put 27.8 percentage points between the two sides.
Which bookmaker had the best closing odds on Inter Turku – Istanbul Basaksehir?
It depended on the outcome: Stake was best on Inter Turku, VBET on the draw and bwin on Istanbul Basaksehir. Across all three outcomes Stake paid out the most (92.6%) and VBET the least (91.0%).
| BOOKMAKER | INTER TURKU | DRAW | ISTANBUL BASAKSEHIR | PAYOUT |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Stake | 4.10 best price | 3.65 | 1.78 | 92.6% |
| bwin | 4.00 | 3.10 | 1.90 best price | 91.0% |
| VBET | 3.86 | 3.77 best price | 1.74 | 91.0% |
| BEST PRICE | 4.10 | 3.77 | 1.90 | 96.6% |
| SPREAD, LOW TO HIGH | 3.86–4.10 · 6.2% | 3.10–3.77 · 21.6% | 1.74–1.90 · 9.2% | 91.0–92.6% |
How did the Inter Turku – Istanbul Basaksehir odds move before kick-off?
The best price on Inter Turku shortened from 4.60 when odds opened on 26 Jul to 4.10 at kick-off, a 10.9% drop.
DATA
| BEST PRICE AT | INTER TURKU | DRAW | ISTANBUL BASAKSEHIR |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sun 26 Jul (open) | 4.60 | 3.70 | 1.80 |
| Tue 28 Jul | 4.50 | 3.65 | 1.80 |
| Thu 30 Jul (kick-off) | 4.10 | 3.77 | 1.90 |
How many goals did the odds expect?
Both teams to score was priced at 55.3%.
How we calculate
Implied probability is 1 ÷ decimal odds. A bookmaker's match-result probabilities add up to more than 100%; the excess is its margin. We remove each bookmaker's margin proportionally and average the result across every bookmaker that prices all three outcomes.
Payout is 1 ÷ (1/odds₁ + 1/odds₂ + 1/odds₃): the share of all stakes a bookmaker would return across every outcome. Best-price payout uses the highest price on each outcome, wherever it is offered. Prices more than 48 hours old are left out while fresher ones exist.
Odds movement follows the best price on each outcome from the moment at least three bookmakers priced the match, sampled daily.
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