HB Tórshavn – Motherwell odds
Motherwell went into the match as heavy favourites against HB Tórshavn.
Full Time
1st Half
2nd Half
HB Tórshavn – Motherwell: closing odds analysis
- Motherwell were favourites: the closing odds implied a 56% chance of an away win, 20% for HB Tórshavn and 25% for a draw.
- Best closing odds: HB Tórshavn 5.00 at Stake, the draw 4.00 at Stake, Motherwell 1.72 at bwin.
- Stake had the highest closing payout on the match result: 93.4%.
- Odds movement: the best price on HB Tórshavn shortened from 5.80 at the opening to 5.00 at kick-off.
- The closing odds implied a 51% chance that both teams score.
Who were the favourites, HB Tórshavn or Motherwell?
Motherwell, by a distance: the closing odds put 36.2 percentage points between the two sides.
Which bookmaker had the best closing odds on HB Tórshavn – Motherwell?
It depended on the outcome: Stake was best on HB Tórshavn, Stake on the draw and bwin on Motherwell. Across all three outcomes Stake paid out the most (93.4%) and VBET the least (90.7%).
| BOOKMAKER | HB TÓRSHAVN | DRAW | MOTHERWELL | PAYOUT |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Stake | 5.00 best price | 4.00 best price | 1.61 | 93.4% |
| bwin | 4.80 | 3.25 | 1.72 best price | 91.1% |
| VBET | 4.33 | 4.00 best price | 1.61 | 90.7% |
| BEST PRICE | 5.00 | 4.00 | 1.72 | 97.0% |
| SPREAD, LOW TO HIGH | 4.33–5.00 · 15.5% | 3.25–4.00 · 23.1% | 1.61–1.72 · 6.8% | 90.7–93.4% |
How did the HB Tórshavn – Motherwell odds move before kick-off?
The best price on HB Tórshavn shortened from 5.80 when odds opened on 26 Jul to 5.00 at kick-off, a 13.8% drop.
DATA
| BEST PRICE AT | HB TÓRSHAVN | DRAW | MOTHERWELL |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sun 26 Jul (open) | 5.80 | 4.20 | 1.58 |
| Tue 28 Jul | 5.40 | 4.10 | 1.65 |
| Thu 30 Jul (kick-off) | 5.00 | 4.00 | 1.72 |
How many goals did the odds expect?
Both teams to score was priced at 50.8%.
How we calculate
Implied probability is 1 ÷ decimal odds. A bookmaker's match-result probabilities add up to more than 100%; the excess is its margin. We remove each bookmaker's margin proportionally and average the result across every bookmaker that prices all three outcomes.
Payout is 1 ÷ (1/odds₁ + 1/odds₂ + 1/odds₃): the share of all stakes a bookmaker would return across every outcome. Best-price payout uses the highest price on each outcome, wherever it is offered. Prices more than 48 hours old are left out while fresher ones exist.
Odds movement follows the best price on each outcome from the moment at least three bookmakers priced the match, sampled daily.
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