Kairat Almaty – Omonia Nicosia odds
Kairat Almaty went into the match as narrow favourites against Omonia Nicosia.
Full Time
1st Half
2nd Half
Kairat Almaty – Omonia Nicosia: closing odds analysis
- Kairat Almaty were favourites: the closing odds implied a 39% chance of a home win, 29% for Omonia Nicosia and 32% for a draw.
- Best closing odds: Kairat Almaty 2.60 at bwin, the draw 3.12 at VBET, Omonia Nicosia 3.30 at bwin.
- bwin had the highest closing payout on the match result: 93.9%.
- Odds movement: the best price on Omonia Nicosia drifted from 2.95 at the opening to 3.30 at kick-off.
- The closing odds implied a 44% chance that both teams score.
Who were the favourites, Kairat Almaty or Omonia Nicosia?
Kairat Almaty, but only just: the closing odds put 9.6 percentage points between the two sides.
Which bookmaker had the best closing odds on Kairat Almaty – Omonia Nicosia?
It depended on the outcome: bwin was best on Kairat Almaty, VBET on the draw and bwin on Omonia Nicosia. Across all three outcomes bwin paid out the most (93.9%) and Stake the least (88.3%).
| BOOKMAKER | KAIRAT ALMATY | DRAW | OMONIA NICOSIA | PAYOUT |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| bwin | 2.60 best price | 2.65 | 3.30 best price | 93.9% |
| VBET | 2.28 | 3.12 best price | 2.94 | 91.0% |
| Stake | 2.15 | 2.95 | 3.05 | 88.3% |
| BEST PRICE | 2.60 | 3.12 | 3.30 | 99.2% |
| SPREAD, LOW TO HIGH | 2.15–2.60 · 20.9% | 2.65–3.12 · 17.7% | 2.94–3.30 · 12.2% | 88.3–93.9% |
How did the Kairat Almaty – Omonia Nicosia odds move before kick-off?
The best price on Omonia Nicosia drifted from 2.95 when odds opened on 24 Jul to 3.30 at kick-off, a 11.9% rise.
DATA
| BEST PRICE AT | KAIRAT ALMATY | DRAW | OMONIA NICOSIA |
|---|---|---|---|
| Fri 24 Jul (open) | 2.65 | 3.25 | 2.95 |
| Mon 27 Jul | 2.35 | 3.30 | 3.40 |
| Wed 29 Jul (kick-off) | 2.60 | 3.12 | 3.30 |
How many goals did the odds expect?
Both teams to score was priced at 44.2%.
How we calculate
Implied probability is 1 ÷ decimal odds. A bookmaker's match-result probabilities add up to more than 100%; the excess is its margin. We remove each bookmaker's margin proportionally and average the result across every bookmaker that prices all three outcomes.
Payout is 1 ÷ (1/odds₁ + 1/odds₂ + 1/odds₃): the share of all stakes a bookmaker would return across every outcome. Best-price payout uses the highest price on each outcome, wherever it is offered. Prices more than 48 hours old are left out while fresher ones exist.
Odds movement follows the best price on each outcome from the moment at least three bookmakers priced the match, sampled daily.
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