Górnik Zabrze – Fenerbahçe odds
Fenerbahçe went into the match as heavy favourites against Górnik Zabrze.
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2nd Half
Górnik Zabrze – Fenerbahçe: closing odds analysis
- Fenerbahçe were favourites: the closing odds implied a 54% chance of an away win, 21% for Górnik Zabrze and 25% for a draw.
- Best closing odds: Górnik Zabrze 5.20 at Stake, the draw 4.20 at Stake, Fenerbahçe 1.78 at Betano.
- Betano had the highest closing payout on the match result: 95.6%.
- Odds movement: the best price on Górnik Zabrze drifted from 4.45 at the opening to 5.20 at kick-off.
- The closing odds implied a 50% chance of three or more goals and 54% that both teams score.
Who were the favourites, Górnik Zabrze or Fenerbahçe?
Fenerbahçe, by a distance: the closing odds put 32.4 percentage points between the two sides.
Which bookmaker had the best closing odds on Górnik Zabrze – Fenerbahçe?
It depended on the outcome: Stake was best on Górnik Zabrze, Stake on the draw and Betano on Fenerbahçe. Across all three outcomes Betano paid out the most (95.6%) and Bet25 the least (89.2%).
| BOOKMAKER | GÓRNIK ZABRZE | DRAW | FENERBAHÇE | PAYOUT |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betano | 4.45 | 3.85 | 1.78 best price | 95.6% |
| VBET | 5.20 best price | 4.00 | 1.64 | 95.1% |
| bwin | 4.80 | 3.60 | 1.75 | 94.6% |
| Betmaster | 4.30 | 3.80 | 1.74 | 93.4% |
| ComeOn | 4.26 | 3.72 | 1.71 | 91.9% |
| Betoro | 4.20 | 3.66 | 1.72 | 91.5% |
| Casino House | 4.20 | 3.66 | 1.72 | 91.5% |
| GetLucky | 4.22 | 3.68 | 1.70 | 91.2% |
| Casinostuen | 4.22 | 3.68 | 1.70 | 91.2% |
| Betinia | 4.20 | 3.60 | 1.71 | 90.9% |
| CampoBet | 4.20 | 3.60 | 1.71 | 90.9% |
| Casinomoto | 4.20 | 3.60 | 1.71 | 90.9% |
| Expekt | 4.10 | 3.60 | 1.70 | 90.1% |
| Bet25 | 4.10 | 3.55 | 1.68 | 89.2% |
| Stake | 5.20 best price | 4.20 best price | — | — |
| BEST PRICE | 5.20 | 4.20 | 1.78 | 100.8% |
| SPREAD, LOW TO HIGH | 4.10–5.20 · 26.8% | 3.55–4.20 · 18.3% | 1.64–1.78 · 8.5% | 89.2–95.6% |
How did the Górnik Zabrze – Fenerbahçe odds move before kick-off?
The best price on Górnik Zabrze drifted from 4.45 when odds opened on 22 Jul to 5.20 at kick-off, a 16.9% rise.
DATA
| BEST PRICE AT | GÓRNIK ZABRZE | DRAW | FENERBAHÇE |
|---|---|---|---|
| Wed 22 Jul (open) | 4.45 | 3.85 | 1.78 |
| Sun 26 Jul | 6.00 | 4.30 | 1.78 |
| Wed 29 Jul (kick-off) | 5.20 | 4.20 | 1.78 |
How many goals did the odds expect?
The closing odds were close to an even split on three or more goals. Both teams to score was priced at 54.3%.
How we calculate
Implied probability is 1 ÷ decimal odds. A bookmaker's match-result probabilities add up to more than 100%; the excess is its margin. We remove each bookmaker's margin proportionally and average the result across every bookmaker that prices all three outcomes.
Payout is 1 ÷ (1/odds₁ + 1/odds₂ + 1/odds₃): the share of all stakes a bookmaker would return across every outcome. Best-price payout uses the highest price on each outcome, wherever it is offered. Prices more than 48 hours old are left out while fresher ones exist.
Odds movement follows the best price on each outcome from the moment at least three bookmakers priced the match, sampled daily.
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