Lincoln Red Imps – Mjallby odds
Mjallby went into the match as heavy favourites against Lincoln Red Imps.
Full Time
1st Half
2nd Half
Lincoln Red Imps – Mjallby: closing odds analysis
- Mjallby were favourites: the closing odds implied a 54% chance of an away win, 22% for Lincoln Red Imps and 24% for a draw.
- Best closing odds: Lincoln Red Imps 4.60 at bwin, the draw 4.20 at VBET, Mjallby 1.80 at bwin.
- Stake had the highest closing payout on the match result: 94.5%.
- Odds movement: the best price on Lincoln Red Imps shortened from 8.00 at the opening to 4.60 at kick-off.
- The closing odds implied a 56% chance that both teams score.
Who were the favourites, Lincoln Red Imps or Mjallby?
Mjallby, by a distance: the closing odds put 32.2 percentage points between the two sides.
Which bookmaker had the best closing odds on Lincoln Red Imps – Mjallby?
It depended on the outcome: bwin was best on Lincoln Red Imps, VBET on the draw and bwin on Mjallby. Across all three outcomes Stake paid out the most (94.5%) and VBET the least (90.9%).
| BOOKMAKER | LINCOLN RED IMPS | DRAW | MJALLBY | PAYOUT |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Stake | 4.50 | 4.10 | 1.69 | 94.5% |
| bwin | 4.60 best price | 3.50 | 1.80 best price | 94.5% |
| VBET | 3.75 | 4.20 best price | 1.68 | 90.9% |
| BEST PRICE | 4.60 | 4.20 | 1.80 | 98.9% |
| SPREAD, LOW TO HIGH | 3.75–4.60 · 22.7% | 3.50–4.20 · 20.0% | 1.68–1.80 · 7.1% | 90.9–94.5% |
How did the Lincoln Red Imps – Mjallby odds move before kick-off?
The best price on Lincoln Red Imps shortened from 8.00 when odds opened on 24 Jul to 4.60 at kick-off, a 42.5% drop.
DATA
| BEST PRICE AT | LINCOLN RED IMPS | DRAW | MJALLBY |
|---|---|---|---|
| Fri 24 Jul (open) | 8.00 | 5.00 | 1.49 |
| Sun 26 Jul | 6.00 | 4.40 | 1.60 |
| Tue 28 Jul (kick-off) | 4.60 | 4.20 | 1.80 |
How many goals did the odds expect?
Both teams to score was priced at 56.1%.
How we calculate
Implied probability is 1 ÷ decimal odds. A bookmaker's match-result probabilities add up to more than 100%; the excess is its margin. We remove each bookmaker's margin proportionally and average the result across every bookmaker that prices all three outcomes.
Payout is 1 ÷ (1/odds₁ + 1/odds₂ + 1/odds₃): the share of all stakes a bookmaker would return across every outcome. Best-price payout uses the highest price on each outcome, wherever it is offered. Prices more than 48 hours old are left out while fresher ones exist.
Odds movement follows the best price on each outcome from the moment at least three bookmakers priced the match, sampled daily.
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