CSKA 1948 Sofia – Spartak Trnava odds
CSKA 1948 Sofia went into the match as heavy favourites against Spartak Trnava.
Full Time
1st Half
2nd Half
CSKA 1948 Sofia – Spartak Trnava: closing odds analysis
- CSKA 1948 Sofia were favourites: the closing odds implied a 52% chance of a home win, 20% for Spartak Trnava and 28% for a draw.
- Best closing odds: CSKA 1948 Sofia 1.88 at bwin, the draw 3.50 at Stake, Spartak Trnava 5.10 at VBET.
- Stake had the highest closing payout on the match result: 93.2%.
- Odds movement: the best price on Spartak Trnava drifted from 3.65 at the opening to 5.10 at kick-off.
- The closing odds implied a 49% chance that both teams score.
Who were the favourites, CSKA 1948 Sofia or Spartak Trnava?
CSKA 1948 Sofia, by a distance: the closing odds put 32.8 percentage points between the two sides.
Which bookmaker had the best closing odds on CSKA 1948 Sofia – Spartak Trnava?
It depended on the outcome: bwin was best on CSKA 1948 Sofia, Stake on the draw and VBET on Spartak Trnava. Across all three outcomes Stake paid out the most (93.2%) and bwin the least (90.8%).
| BOOKMAKER | CSKA 1948 SOFIA | DRAW | SPARTAK TRNAVA | PAYOUT |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Stake | 1.74 | 3.50 best price | 4.70 | 93.2% |
| VBET | 1.65 | 3.37 | 5.10 best price | 91.0% |
| bwin | 1.88 best price | 2.95 | 4.33 | 90.8% |
| BEST PRICE | 1.88 | 3.50 | 5.10 | 98.6% |
| SPREAD, LOW TO HIGH | 1.65–1.88 · 13.9% | 2.95–3.50 · 18.6% | 4.33–5.10 · 17.8% | 90.8–93.2% |
How did the CSKA 1948 Sofia – Spartak Trnava odds move before kick-off?
The best price on Spartak Trnava drifted from 3.65 when odds opened on 26 Jul to 5.10 at kick-off, a 39.7% rise.
DATA
| BEST PRICE AT | CSKA 1948 SOFIA | DRAW | SPARTAK TRNAVA |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sun 26 Jul (open) | 2.05 | 3.40 | 3.65 |
| Mon 27 Jul | 2.05 | 3.45 | 3.75 |
| Tue 28 Jul (kick-off) | 1.88 | 3.50 | 5.10 |
How many goals did the odds expect?
Both teams to score was priced at 48.6%.
How we calculate
Implied probability is 1 ÷ decimal odds. A bookmaker's match-result probabilities add up to more than 100%; the excess is its margin. We remove each bookmaker's margin proportionally and average the result across every bookmaker that prices all three outcomes.
Payout is 1 ÷ (1/odds₁ + 1/odds₂ + 1/odds₃): the share of all stakes a bookmaker would return across every outcome. Best-price payout uses the highest price on each outcome, wherever it is offered. Prices more than 48 hours old are left out while fresher ones exist.
Odds movement follows the best price on each outcome from the moment at least three bookmakers priced the match, sampled daily.
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