Varaždin – Jablonec odds
Varaždin and Jablonec went into the match almost level in the odds.
Full Time
1st Half
2nd Half
Varaždin – Jablonec: closing odds analysis
- No clear favourite: the closing odds implied 34% for Varaždin, 30% for a draw and 36% for Jablonec.
- Best closing odds: Varaždin 2.70 at bwin, the draw 3.35 at Stake, Jablonec 2.65 at bwin.
- Stake had the highest closing payout on the match result: 92.5%.
- Odds movement: the best price on Jablonec drifted from 2.37 at the opening to 2.65 at kick-off.
- The closing odds implied a 53% chance that both teams score.
Who were the favourites, Varaždin or Jablonec?
Neither side, really: the closing odds put only 1.4 percentage points between Varaždin and Jablonec.
Which bookmaker had the best closing odds on Varaždin – Jablonec?
It depended on the outcome: bwin was best on Varaždin, Stake on the draw and bwin on Jablonec. Across all three outcomes Stake paid out the most (92.5%) and VBET the least (90.9%).
| BOOKMAKER | VARAŽDIN | DRAW | JABLONEC | PAYOUT |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Stake | 2.65 | 3.35 best price | 2.47 | 92.5% |
| bwin | 2.70 best price | 2.87 | 2.65 best price | 91.2% |
| VBET | 2.62 | 3.08 | 2.54 | 90.9% |
| BEST PRICE | 2.70 | 3.35 | 2.65 | 95.6% |
| SPREAD, LOW TO HIGH | 2.62–2.70 · 3.1% | 2.87–3.35 · 16.7% | 2.47–2.65 · 7.3% | 90.9–92.5% |
How did the Varaždin – Jablonec odds move before kick-off?
The best price on Jablonec drifted from 2.37 when odds opened on 21 Jul to 2.65 at kick-off, a 11.8% rise.
DATA
| BEST PRICE AT | VARAŽDIN | DRAW | JABLONEC |
|---|---|---|---|
| Tue 21 Jul (open) | 2.87 | 3.45 | 2.37 |
| Wed 22 Jul | 2.87 | 3.45 | 2.37 |
| Thu 23 Jul (kick-off) | 2.70 | 3.35 | 2.65 |
How many goals did the odds expect?
Both teams to score was priced at 53.4%.
How we calculate
Implied probability is 1 ÷ decimal odds. A bookmaker's match-result probabilities add up to more than 100%; the excess is its margin. We remove each bookmaker's margin proportionally and average the result across every bookmaker that prices all three outcomes.
Payout is 1 ÷ (1/odds₁ + 1/odds₂ + 1/odds₃): the share of all stakes a bookmaker would return across every outcome. Best-price payout uses the highest price on each outcome, wherever it is offered. Prices more than 48 hours old are left out while fresher ones exist.
Odds movement follows the best price on each outcome from the moment at least three bookmakers priced the match, sampled daily.
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