Tromsø – Hradec Králové odds
Tromsø went into the match as heavy favourites against Hradec Králové.
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1st Half
2nd Half
Tromsø – Hradec Králové: closing odds analysis
- Tromsø were favourites: the closing odds implied a 64% chance of a home win, 12% for Hradec Králové and 24% for a draw.
- Best closing odds: Tromsø 1.55 at bwin, the draw 4.50 at Stake, Hradec Králové 9.60 at VBET.
- bwin had the highest closing payout on the match result: 94.3%.
- Odds movement: the best price on Hradec Králové drifted from 5.00 at the opening to 9.60 at kick-off.
- The closing odds implied a 47% chance that both teams score.
Who were the favourites, Tromsø or Hradec Králové?
Tromsø, by a distance: the closing odds put 52.1 percentage points between the two sides.
Which bookmaker had the best closing odds on Tromsø – Hradec Králové?
It depended on the outcome: bwin was best on Tromsø, Stake on the draw and VBET on Hradec Králové. Across all three outcomes bwin paid out the most (94.3%) and VBET the least (91.1%).
| BOOKMAKER | TROMSØ | DRAW | HRADEC KRÁLOVÉ | PAYOUT |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| bwin | 1.55 best price | 3.75 | 6.75 | 94.3% |
| Stake | 1.39 | 4.50 best price | 7.20 | 92.5% |
| VBET | 1.40 | 3.58 | 9.60 best price | 91.1% |
| BEST PRICE | 1.55 | 4.50 | 9.60 | 102.9% |
| SPREAD, LOW TO HIGH | 1.39–1.55 · 11.5% | 3.58–4.50 · 25.7% | 6.75–9.60 · 42.2% | 91.1–94.3% |
How did the Tromsø – Hradec Králové odds move before kick-off?
The best price on Hradec Králové drifted from 5.00 when odds opened on 20 Jul to 9.60 at kick-off, a 92.0% rise.
DATA
| BEST PRICE AT | TROMSØ | DRAW | HRADEC KRÁLOVÉ |
|---|---|---|---|
| Mon 20 Jul (open) | 1.88 | 4.10 | 5.00 |
| Wed 22 Jul | 1.75 | 4.30 | 5.40 |
| Thu 23 Jul (kick-off) | 1.55 | 4.50 | 9.60 |
How many goals did the odds expect?
Both teams to score was priced at 47.2%.
How we calculate
Implied probability is 1 ÷ decimal odds. A bookmaker's match-result probabilities add up to more than 100%; the excess is its margin. We remove each bookmaker's margin proportionally and average the result across every bookmaker that prices all three outcomes.
Payout is 1 ÷ (1/odds₁ + 1/odds₂ + 1/odds₃): the share of all stakes a bookmaker would return across every outcome. Best-price payout uses the highest price on each outcome, wherever it is offered. Prices more than 48 hours old are left out while fresher ones exist.
Odds movement follows the best price on each outcome from the moment at least three bookmakers priced the match, sampled daily.
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