Sheriff Tiraspol – Maccabi Tel Aviv odds
Maccabi Tel Aviv went into the match as clear favourites against Sheriff Tiraspol.
Full Time
1st Half
2nd Half
Sheriff Tiraspol – Maccabi Tel Aviv: closing odds analysis
- Maccabi Tel Aviv were favourites: the closing odds implied a 45% chance of an away win, 26% for Sheriff Tiraspol and 29% for a draw.
- Best closing odds: Sheriff Tiraspol 3.80 at bwin, the draw 3.45 at VBET, Maccabi Tel Aviv 2.20 at bwin.
- bwin had the highest closing payout on the match result: 94.1%.
- Odds movement: the best price on Sheriff Tiraspol drifted from 3.40 at the opening to 3.80 at kick-off.
- The closing odds implied a 46% chance that both teams score.
Who were the favourites, Sheriff Tiraspol or Maccabi Tel Aviv?
Maccabi Tel Aviv, clearly: the closing odds put 18.9 percentage points between the two sides.
Which bookmaker had the best closing odds on Sheriff Tiraspol – Maccabi Tel Aviv?
It depended on the outcome: bwin was best on Sheriff Tiraspol, VBET on the draw and bwin on Maccabi Tel Aviv. Across all three outcomes bwin paid out the most (94.1%) and VBET the least (91.0%).
| BOOKMAKER | SHERIFF TIRASPOL | DRAW | MACCABI TEL AVIV | PAYOUT |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| bwin | 3.80 best price | 2.90 | 2.20 best price | 94.1% |
| Stake | 3.50 | 3.25 | 2.06 | 92.7% |
| VBET | 3.41 | 3.45 best price | 1.94 | 91.0% |
| BEST PRICE | 3.80 | 3.45 | 2.20 | 99.2% |
| SPREAD, LOW TO HIGH | 3.41–3.80 · 11.4% | 2.90–3.45 · 19.0% | 1.94–2.20 · 13.4% | 91.0–94.1% |
How did the Sheriff Tiraspol – Maccabi Tel Aviv odds move before kick-off?
The best price on Sheriff Tiraspol drifted from 3.40 when odds opened on 21 Jul to 3.80 at kick-off, a 11.8% rise.
DATA
| BEST PRICE AT | SHERIFF TIRASPOL | DRAW | MACCABI TEL AVIV |
|---|---|---|---|
| Tue 21 Jul (open) | 3.40 | 3.20 | 2.40 |
| Wed 22 Jul | 3.40 | 3.20 | 2.37 |
| Thu 23 Jul (kick-off) | 3.80 | 3.45 | 2.20 |
How many goals did the odds expect?
Both teams to score was priced at 46.5%.
How we calculate
Implied probability is 1 ÷ decimal odds. A bookmaker's match-result probabilities add up to more than 100%; the excess is its margin. We remove each bookmaker's margin proportionally and average the result across every bookmaker that prices all three outcomes.
Payout is 1 ÷ (1/odds₁ + 1/odds₂ + 1/odds₃): the share of all stakes a bookmaker would return across every outcome. Best-price payout uses the highest price on each outcome, wherever it is offered. Prices more than 48 hours old are left out while fresher ones exist.
Odds movement follows the best price on each outcome from the moment at least three bookmakers priced the match, sampled daily.
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