Shelbourne – Nomme Kalju odds
Shelbourne went into the match as heavy favourites against Nomme Kalju.
Full Time
1st Half
2nd Half
Shelbourne – Nomme Kalju: closing odds analysis
- Shelbourne were favourites: the closing odds implied a 60% chance of a home win, 14% for Nomme Kalju and 26% for a draw.
- Best closing odds: Shelbourne 1.63 at bwin, the draw 4.00 at Stake, Nomme Kalju 7.40 at VBET.
- Stake had the highest closing payout on the match result: 93.2%.
- Odds movement: the best price on Nomme Kalju drifted from 6.60 at the opening to 7.40 at kick-off.
- The closing odds implied a 42% chance that both teams score.
Who were the favourites, Shelbourne or Nomme Kalju?
Shelbourne, by a distance: the closing odds put 45.9 percentage points between the two sides.
Which bookmaker had the best closing odds on Shelbourne – Nomme Kalju?
It depended on the outcome: bwin was best on Shelbourne, Stake on the draw and VBET on Nomme Kalju. Across all three outcomes Stake paid out the most (93.2%) and VBET the least (91.0%).
| BOOKMAKER | SHELBOURNE | DRAW | NOMME KALJU | PAYOUT |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Stake | 1.49 | 4.00 best price | 6.60 | 93.2% |
| bwin | 1.63 best price | 3.25 | 5.75 | 91.3% |
| VBET | 1.48 | 3.47 | 7.40 best price | 91.0% |
| BEST PRICE | 1.63 | 4.00 | 7.40 | 100.1% |
| SPREAD, LOW TO HIGH | 1.48–1.63 · 10.1% | 3.25–4.00 · 23.1% | 5.75–7.40 · 28.7% | 91.0–93.2% |
How did the Shelbourne – Nomme Kalju odds move before kick-off?
The best price on Nomme Kalju drifted from 6.60 when odds opened on 20 Jul to 7.40 at kick-off, a 12.1% rise.
DATA
| BEST PRICE AT | SHELBOURNE | DRAW | NOMME KALJU |
|---|---|---|---|
| Mon 20 Jul (open) | 1.61 | 4.20 | 6.60 |
| Wed 22 Jul | 1.43 | 4.70 | 8.80 |
| Thu 23 Jul (kick-off) | 1.63 | 4.00 | 7.40 |
How many goals did the odds expect?
Both teams to score was priced at 42.3%.
How we calculate
Implied probability is 1 ÷ decimal odds. A bookmaker's match-result probabilities add up to more than 100%; the excess is its margin. We remove each bookmaker's margin proportionally and average the result across every bookmaker that prices all three outcomes.
Payout is 1 ÷ (1/odds₁ + 1/odds₂ + 1/odds₃): the share of all stakes a bookmaker would return across every outcome. Best-price payout uses the highest price on each outcome, wherever it is offered. Prices more than 48 hours old are left out while fresher ones exist.
Odds movement follows the best price on each outcome from the moment at least three bookmakers priced the match, sampled daily.
More Conference League odds
- Bodø/Glimt – LASKTue 24 Nov · 18:45
- Galatasaray – Aston VillaTue 24 Nov · 18:45
- Como – AEK AthensTue 24 Nov · 21:00
- Man City – NapoliTue 24 Nov · 21:00
- Slovan Bratislava – Real BetisTue 24 Nov · 21:00
- Slavia Prague – VillarrealWed 25 Nov · 18:45
- Kairat Almaty – MjallbyThu 26 Nov · 16:30
- Ajax – ThunThu 26 Nov · 18:45
- Brann – AGFThu 26 Nov · 18:45
- Brighton – Universitatea CraiovaThu 26 Nov · 18:45
- Egnatia – Lincoln Red ImpsThu 26 Nov · 18:45
- Hearts – MonacoThu 26 Nov · 18:45
- Iberia 1999 – GetafeThu 26 Nov · 18:45
- Jablonec – LuganoThu 26 Nov · 18:45
- Pafos – FC MidtjyllandThu 26 Nov · 18:45
- Žalgiris Kaunas – Riga FCThu 26 Nov · 18:45
- Borac Banja Luka – AtalantaThu 26 Nov · 21:00
- Braga – KuPSThu 26 Nov · 21:00
- CSKA Sofia – TrabzonsporThu 26 Nov · 21:00
- FC Nordsjælland – PanathinaikosThu 26 Nov · 21:00
- Freiburg – TwenteThu 26 Nov · 21:00
- Gent – Crvena ZvezdaThu 26 Nov · 21:00
- Hajduk Split – Sint-TruidenThu 26 Nov · 21:00
- Inter Club d'Escaldes – FC CopenhagenThu 26 Nov · 21:00
- Conference League odds ›
The odds imply probabilities; they are not predictions. OddsStat is a comparison service, not a bookmaker. 18+ · Gamble responsibly.