Polissya Zhytomyr – FC Copenhagen odds
FC Copenhagen went into the match as clear favourites against Polissya Zhytomyr.
Full Time
1st Half
2nd Half
Polissya Zhytomyr – FC Copenhagen: closing odds analysis
- FC Copenhagen were favourites: the closing odds implied a 47% chance of an away win, 26% for Polissya Zhytomyr and 27% for a draw.
- Best closing odds: Polissya Zhytomyr 3.65 at Stake, the draw 3.80 at VBET, FC Copenhagen 2.05 at bwin.
- VBET had the highest closing payout on the match result: 95.1%.
- Odds movement: the best price on Polissya Zhytomyr shortened from 4.20 at the opening to 3.65 at kick-off.
- The closing odds implied a 56% chance that both teams score.
Who were the favourites, Polissya Zhytomyr or FC Copenhagen?
FC Copenhagen, clearly: the closing odds put 20.6 percentage points between the two sides.
Which bookmaker had the best closing odds on Polissya Zhytomyr – FC Copenhagen?
It depended on the outcome: Stake was best on Polissya Zhytomyr, VBET on the draw and bwin on FC Copenhagen. Across all three outcomes VBET paid out the most (95.1%) and bwin the least (91.0%).
| BOOKMAKER | POLISSYA ZHYTOMYR | DRAW | FC COPENHAGEN | PAYOUT |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| VBET | 3.38 | 3.80 best price | 2.03 | 95.1% |
| Stake | 3.65 best price | 3.70 | 1.88 | 92.9% |
| bwin | 3.60 | 3.00 | 2.05 best price | 91.0% |
| BEST PRICE | 3.65 | 3.80 | 2.05 | 97.6% |
| SPREAD, LOW TO HIGH | 3.38–3.65 · 8.0% | 3.00–3.80 · 26.7% | 1.88–2.05 · 9.0% | 91.0–95.1% |
How did the Polissya Zhytomyr – FC Copenhagen odds move before kick-off?
The best price on Polissya Zhytomyr shortened from 4.20 when odds opened on 20 Jul to 3.65 at kick-off, a 13.1% drop.
DATA
| BEST PRICE AT | POLISSYA ZHYTOMYR | DRAW | FC COPENHAGEN |
|---|---|---|---|
| Mon 20 Jul (open) | 4.20 | 3.85 | 1.90 |
| Wed 22 Jul | 3.90 | 3.60 | 1.95 |
| Thu 23 Jul (kick-off) | 3.65 | 3.80 | 2.05 |
How many goals did the odds expect?
Both teams to score was priced at 56.4%.
How we calculate
Implied probability is 1 ÷ decimal odds. A bookmaker's match-result probabilities add up to more than 100%; the excess is its margin. We remove each bookmaker's margin proportionally and average the result across every bookmaker that prices all three outcomes.
Payout is 1 ÷ (1/odds₁ + 1/odds₂ + 1/odds₃): the share of all stakes a bookmaker would return across every outcome. Best-price payout uses the highest price on each outcome, wherever it is offered. Prices more than 48 hours old are left out while fresher ones exist.
Odds movement follows the best price on each outcome from the moment at least three bookmakers priced the match, sampled daily.
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