Motherwell – HB Tórshavn odds
Motherwell went into the match as heavy favourites against HB Tórshavn.
Full Time
1st Half
2nd Half
Motherwell – HB Tórshavn: closing odds analysis
- Motherwell were favourites: the closing odds implied a 78% chance of a home win, 7% for HB Tórshavn and 16% for a draw.
- Best closing odds: Motherwell 1.24 at bwin, the draw 6.80 at Stake, HB Tórshavn 17.00 at VBET.
- Stake had the highest closing payout on the match result: 93.0%.
- Odds movement: the best price on HB Tórshavn drifted from 13.00 at the opening to 17.00 at kick-off.
- The closing odds implied a 39% chance that both teams score.
Who were the favourites, Motherwell or HB Tórshavn?
Motherwell, by a distance: the closing odds put 71.2 percentage points between the two sides.
Which bookmaker had the best closing odds on Motherwell – HB Tórshavn?
It depended on the outcome: bwin was best on Motherwell, Stake on the draw and VBET on HB Tórshavn. Across all three outcomes Stake paid out the most (93.0%) and VBET the least (91.1%).
| BOOKMAKER | MOTHERWELL | DRAW | HB TÓRSHAVN | PAYOUT |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Stake | 1.16 | 6.80 best price | 15.00 | 93.0% |
| bwin | 1.24 best price | 5.25 | 11.00 | 91.9% |
| VBET | 1.15 | 5.90 | 17.00 best price | 91.1% |
| BEST PRICE | 1.24 | 6.80 | 17.00 | 98.8% |
| SPREAD, LOW TO HIGH | 1.15–1.24 · 7.8% | 5.25–6.80 · 29.5% | 11.00–17.00 · 54.5% | 91.1–93.0% |
How did the Motherwell – HB Tórshavn odds move before kick-off?
The best price on HB Tórshavn drifted from 13.00 when odds opened on 21 Jul to 17.00 at kick-off, a 30.8% rise.
DATA
| BEST PRICE AT | MOTHERWELL | DRAW | HB TÓRSHAVN |
|---|---|---|---|
| Tue 21 Jul (open) | 1.26 | 6.90 | 13.00 |
| Wed 22 Jul | 1.21 | 7.80 | 17.00 |
| Thu 23 Jul (kick-off) | 1.24 | 6.80 | 17.00 |
How many goals did the odds expect?
Both teams to score was priced at 39.1%.
How we calculate
Implied probability is 1 ÷ decimal odds. A bookmaker's match-result probabilities add up to more than 100%; the excess is its margin. We remove each bookmaker's margin proportionally and average the result across every bookmaker that prices all three outcomes.
Payout is 1 ÷ (1/odds₁ + 1/odds₂ + 1/odds₃): the share of all stakes a bookmaker would return across every outcome. Best-price payout uses the highest price on each outcome, wherever it is offered. Prices more than 48 hours old are left out while fresher ones exist.
Odds movement follows the best price on each outcome from the moment at least three bookmakers priced the match, sampled daily.
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