Hapoel Tel Aviv – Ludogorets Razgrad odds
Ludogorets Razgrad went into the match as narrow favourites against Hapoel Tel Aviv.
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1st Half
2nd Half
Hapoel Tel Aviv – Ludogorets Razgrad: closing odds analysis
- Ludogorets Razgrad were favourites: the closing odds implied a 39% chance of an away win, 31% for Hapoel Tel Aviv and 30% for a draw.
- Best closing odds: Hapoel Tel Aviv 3.10 at bwin, the draw 3.27 at VBET, Ludogorets Razgrad 2.45 at bwin.
- Stake had the highest closing payout on the match result: 92.7%.
- Odds movement: the best price on the draw drifted from 3.10 at the opening to 3.27 at kick-off.
- The closing odds implied a 45% chance that both teams score.
Who were the favourites, Hapoel Tel Aviv or Ludogorets Razgrad?
Ludogorets Razgrad, but only just: the closing odds put 7.5 percentage points between the two sides.
Which bookmaker had the best closing odds on Hapoel Tel Aviv – Ludogorets Razgrad?
It depended on the outcome: bwin was best on Hapoel Tel Aviv, VBET on the draw and bwin on Ludogorets Razgrad. Across all three outcomes Stake paid out the most (92.7%) and bwin the least (90.8%).
| BOOKMAKER | HAPOEL TEL AVIV | DRAW | LUDOGORETS RAZGRAD | PAYOUT |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Stake | 3.05 | 3.15 | 2.31 | 92.7% |
| VBET | 2.70 | 3.27 best price | 2.36 | 90.9% |
| bwin | 3.10 best price | 2.70 | 2.45 best price | 90.8% |
| BEST PRICE | 3.10 | 3.27 | 2.45 | 96.5% |
| SPREAD, LOW TO HIGH | 2.70–3.10 · 14.8% | 2.70–3.27 · 21.1% | 2.31–2.45 · 6.1% | 90.8–92.7% |
How did the Hapoel Tel Aviv – Ludogorets Razgrad odds move before kick-off?
The best price on the draw drifted from 3.10 when odds opened on 21 Jul to 3.27 at kick-off, a 5.5% rise.
DATA
| BEST PRICE AT | HAPOEL TEL AVIV | DRAW | LUDOGORETS RAZGRAD |
|---|---|---|---|
| Tue 21 Jul (open) | 3.00 | 3.10 | 2.50 |
| Wed 22 Jul | 3.20 | 3.15 | 2.45 |
| Thu 23 Jul (kick-off) | 3.10 | 3.27 | 2.45 |
How many goals did the odds expect?
Both teams to score was priced at 45.3%.
How we calculate
Implied probability is 1 ÷ decimal odds. A bookmaker's match-result probabilities add up to more than 100%; the excess is its margin. We remove each bookmaker's margin proportionally and average the result across every bookmaker that prices all three outcomes.
Payout is 1 ÷ (1/odds₁ + 1/odds₂ + 1/odds₃): the share of all stakes a bookmaker would return across every outcome. Best-price payout uses the highest price on each outcome, wherever it is offered. Prices more than 48 hours old are left out while fresher ones exist.
Odds movement follows the best price on each outcome from the moment at least three bookmakers priced the match, sampled daily.
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