GAIS – FC Nordsjælland odds
FC Nordsjælland went into the match as narrow favourites against GAIS.
Full Time
1st Half
2nd Half
GAIS – FC Nordsjælland: closing odds analysis
- FC Nordsjælland were favourites: the closing odds implied a 39% chance of an away win, 31% for GAIS and 30% for a draw.
- Best closing odds: GAIS 3.00 at VBET, the draw 3.35 at Stake, FC Nordsjælland 2.40 at bwin.
- Stake had the highest closing payout on the match result: 92.9%.
- Odds movement: the best price on GAIS drifted from 2.87 at the opening to 3.00 at kick-off.
- The closing odds implied a 55% chance that both teams score.
Who were the favourites, GAIS or FC Nordsjælland?
FC Nordsjælland, but only just: the closing odds put 7.6 percentage points between the two sides.
Which bookmaker had the best closing odds on GAIS – FC Nordsjælland?
It depended on the outcome: VBET was best on GAIS, Stake on the draw and bwin on FC Nordsjælland. Across all three outcomes Stake paid out the most (92.9%) and bwin the least (90.9%).
| BOOKMAKER | GAIS | DRAW | FC NORDSJÆLLAND | PAYOUT |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Stake | 2.85 | 3.35 best price | 2.34 | 92.9% |
| VBET | 3.00 best price | 3.02 | 2.30 | 91.0% |
| bwin | 2.90 | 2.95 | 2.40 best price | 90.9% |
| BEST PRICE | 3.00 | 3.35 | 2.40 | 95.4% |
| SPREAD, LOW TO HIGH | 2.85–3.00 · 5.3% | 2.95–3.35 · 13.6% | 2.30–2.40 · 4.3% | 90.9–92.9% |
How did the GAIS – FC Nordsjælland odds move before kick-off?
The best price on GAIS drifted from 2.87 when odds opened on 21 Jul to 3.00 at kick-off, a 4.5% rise.
DATA
| BEST PRICE AT | GAIS | DRAW | FC NORDSJÆLLAND |
|---|---|---|---|
| Tue 21 Jul (open) | 2.87 | 3.45 | 2.37 |
| Wed 22 Jul | 2.87 | 3.45 | 2.37 |
| Thu 23 Jul (kick-off) | 3.00 | 3.35 | 2.40 |
How many goals did the odds expect?
Both teams to score was priced at 55.2%.
How we calculate
Implied probability is 1 ÷ decimal odds. A bookmaker's match-result probabilities add up to more than 100%; the excess is its margin. We remove each bookmaker's margin proportionally and average the result across every bookmaker that prices all three outcomes.
Payout is 1 ÷ (1/odds₁ + 1/odds₂ + 1/odds₃): the share of all stakes a bookmaker would return across every outcome. Best-price payout uses the highest price on each outcome, wherever it is offered. Prices more than 48 hours old are left out while fresher ones exist.
Odds movement follows the best price on each outcome from the moment at least three bookmakers priced the match, sampled daily.
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