Dinamo Tbilisi – Žalgiris Vilnius odds
Dinamo Tbilisi went into the match as clear favourites against Žalgiris Vilnius.
Full Time
1st Half
2nd Half
Dinamo Tbilisi – Žalgiris Vilnius: closing odds analysis
- Dinamo Tbilisi were favourites: the closing odds implied a 42% chance of a home win, 28% for Žalgiris Vilnius and 31% for a draw.
- Best closing odds: Dinamo Tbilisi 2.30 at bwin, the draw 3.18 at VBET, Žalgiris Vilnius 3.40 at bwin.
- Stake had the highest closing payout on the match result: 92.6%.
- Odds movement: the best price on Žalgiris Vilnius shortened from 3.90 at the opening to 3.40 at kick-off.
- The closing odds implied a 47% chance that both teams score.
Who were the favourites, Dinamo Tbilisi or Žalgiris Vilnius?
Dinamo Tbilisi, clearly: the closing odds put 14.0 percentage points between the two sides.
Which bookmaker had the best closing odds on Dinamo Tbilisi – Žalgiris Vilnius?
It depended on the outcome: bwin was best on Dinamo Tbilisi, VBET on the draw and bwin on Žalgiris Vilnius. Across all three outcomes Stake paid out the most (92.6%) and VBET the least (90.9%).
| BOOKMAKER | DINAMO TBILISI | DRAW | ŽALGIRIS VILNIUS | PAYOUT |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Stake | 2.20 | 3.15 | 3.25 | 92.6% |
| bwin | 2.30 best price | 2.70 | 3.40 best price | 91.0% |
| VBET | 2.09 | 3.18 best price | 3.25 | 90.9% |
| BEST PRICE | 2.30 | 3.18 | 3.40 | 95.8% |
| SPREAD, LOW TO HIGH | 2.09–2.30 · 10.0% | 2.70–3.18 · 17.8% | 3.25–3.40 · 4.6% | 90.9–92.6% |
How did the Dinamo Tbilisi – Žalgiris Vilnius odds move before kick-off?
The best price on Žalgiris Vilnius shortened from 3.90 when odds opened on 21 Jul to 3.40 at kick-off, a 12.8% drop.
DATA
| BEST PRICE AT | DINAMO TBILISI | DRAW | ŽALGIRIS VILNIUS |
|---|---|---|---|
| Tue 21 Jul (open) | 2.05 | 3.25 | 3.90 |
| Wed 22 Jul | 2.25 | 3.20 | 3.50 |
| Thu 23 Jul (kick-off) | 2.30 | 3.18 | 3.40 |
How many goals did the odds expect?
Both teams to score was priced at 46.7%.
How we calculate
Implied probability is 1 ÷ decimal odds. A bookmaker's match-result probabilities add up to more than 100%; the excess is its margin. We remove each bookmaker's margin proportionally and average the result across every bookmaker that prices all three outcomes.
Payout is 1 ÷ (1/odds₁ + 1/odds₂ + 1/odds₃): the share of all stakes a bookmaker would return across every outcome. Best-price payout uses the highest price on each outcome, wherever it is offered. Prices more than 48 hours old are left out while fresher ones exist.
Odds movement follows the best price on each outcome from the moment at least three bookmakers priced the match, sampled daily.
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