Dila Gori – Apollon Limassol odds
Apollon Limassol went into the match as heavy favourites against Dila Gori.
Full Time
1st Half
2nd Half
Dila Gori – Apollon Limassol: closing odds analysis
- Apollon Limassol were favourites: the closing odds implied a 48% chance of an away win, 21% for Dila Gori and 31% for a draw.
- Best closing odds: Dila Gori 4.75 at VBET, the draw 3.25 at Stake, Apollon Limassol 2.10 at bwin.
- Stake had the highest closing payout on the match result: 92.8%.
- Odds movement: the best price on Dila Gori drifted from 3.79 at the opening to 4.75 at kick-off.
- The closing odds implied a 47% chance that both teams score.
Who were the favourites, Dila Gori or Apollon Limassol?
Apollon Limassol, by a distance: the closing odds put 26.5 percentage points between the two sides.
Which bookmaker had the best closing odds on Dila Gori – Apollon Limassol?
It depended on the outcome: VBET was best on Dila Gori, Stake on the draw and bwin on Apollon Limassol. Across all three outcomes Stake paid out the most (92.8%) and VBET the least (91.0%).
| BOOKMAKER | DILA GORI | DRAW | APOLLON LIMASSOL | PAYOUT |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Stake | 4.10 | 3.25 best price | 1.90 | 92.8% |
| bwin | 4.10 | 2.70 | 2.10 best price | 91.7% |
| VBET | 4.75 best price | 3.06 | 1.78 | 91.0% |
| BEST PRICE | 4.75 | 3.25 | 2.10 | 100.6% |
| SPREAD, LOW TO HIGH | 4.10–4.75 · 15.9% | 2.70–3.25 · 20.4% | 1.78–2.10 · 18.0% | 91.0–92.8% |
How did the Dila Gori – Apollon Limassol odds move before kick-off?
The best price on Dila Gori drifted from 3.79 when odds opened on 21 Jul to 4.75 at kick-off, a 25.3% rise.
DATA
| BEST PRICE AT | DILA GORI | DRAW | APOLLON LIMASSOL |
|---|---|---|---|
| Tue 21 Jul (open) | 3.79 | 3.20 | 2.20 |
| Wed 22 Jul | 4.00 | 3.30 | 2.05 |
| Thu 23 Jul (kick-off) | 4.75 | 3.25 | 2.10 |
How many goals did the odds expect?
Both teams to score was priced at 47.4%.
How we calculate
Implied probability is 1 ÷ decimal odds. A bookmaker's match-result probabilities add up to more than 100%; the excess is its margin. We remove each bookmaker's margin proportionally and average the result across every bookmaker that prices all three outcomes.
Payout is 1 ÷ (1/odds₁ + 1/odds₂ + 1/odds₃): the share of all stakes a bookmaker would return across every outcome. Best-price payout uses the highest price on each outcome, wherever it is offered. Prices more than 48 hours old are left out while fresher ones exist.
Odds movement follows the best price on each outcome from the moment at least three bookmakers priced the match, sampled daily.
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