DAC 1904 Dunajska Streda – Velez Mostar odds
DAC 1904 Dunajska Streda went into the match as heavy favourites against Velez Mostar.
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1st Half
2nd Half
DAC 1904 Dunajska Streda – Velez Mostar: closing odds analysis
- DAC 1904 Dunajska Streda were favourites: the closing odds implied a 68% chance of a home win, 10% for Velez Mostar and 21% for a draw.
- Best closing odds: DAC 1904 Dunajska Streda 1.43 at bwin, the draw 4.90 at Stake, Velez Mostar 11.00 at VBET.
- Stake had the highest closing payout on the match result: 92.8%.
- Odds movement: the best price on Velez Mostar drifted from 9.80 at the opening to 11.00 at kick-off.
- The closing odds implied a 43% chance that both teams score.
Who were the favourites, DAC 1904 Dunajska Streda or Velez Mostar?
DAC 1904 Dunajska Streda, by a distance: the closing odds put 58.2 percentage points between the two sides.
Which bookmaker had the best closing odds on DAC 1904 Dunajska Streda – Velez Mostar?
It depended on the outcome: bwin was best on DAC 1904 Dunajska Streda, Stake on the draw and VBET on Velez Mostar. Across all three outcomes Stake paid out the most (92.8%) and VBET the least (90.5%).
| BOOKMAKER | DAC 1904 DUNAJSKA STREDA | DRAW | VELEZ MOSTAR | PAYOUT |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Stake | 1.32 | 4.90 best price | 8.60 | 92.8% |
| bwin | 1.43 best price | 3.75 | 8.00 | 91.7% |
| VBET | 1.28 | 4.30 | 11.00 best price | 90.5% |
| BEST PRICE | 1.43 | 4.90 | 11.00 | 100.6% |
| SPREAD, LOW TO HIGH | 1.28–1.43 · 11.7% | 3.75–4.90 · 30.7% | 8.00–11.00 · 37.5% | 90.5–92.8% |
How did the DAC 1904 Dunajska Streda – Velez Mostar odds move before kick-off?
The best price on Velez Mostar drifted from 9.80 when odds opened on 21 Jul to 11.00 at kick-off, a 12.2% rise.
DATA
| BEST PRICE AT | DAC 1904 DUNAJSKA STREDA | DRAW | VELEZ MOSTAR |
|---|---|---|---|
| Tue 21 Jul (open) | 1.36 | 5.40 | 9.80 |
| Wed 22 Jul | 1.36 | 5.40 | 9.80 |
| Thu 23 Jul (kick-off) | 1.43 | 4.90 | 11.00 |
How many goals did the odds expect?
Both teams to score was priced at 42.8%.
How we calculate
Implied probability is 1 ÷ decimal odds. A bookmaker's match-result probabilities add up to more than 100%; the excess is its margin. We remove each bookmaker's margin proportionally and average the result across every bookmaker that prices all three outcomes.
Payout is 1 ÷ (1/odds₁ + 1/odds₂ + 1/odds₃): the share of all stakes a bookmaker would return across every outcome. Best-price payout uses the highest price on each outcome, wherever it is offered. Prices more than 48 hours old are left out while fresher ones exist.
Odds movement follows the best price on each outcome from the moment at least three bookmakers priced the match, sampled daily.
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