Zeleznicar Pancevo – Braga odds
Braga went into the match as heavy favourites against Zeleznicar Pancevo.
Full Time
1st Half
2nd Half
Zeleznicar Pancevo – Braga: closing odds analysis
- Braga were favourites: the closing odds implied a 73% chance of an away win, 11% for Zeleznicar Pancevo and 16% for a draw.
- Best closing odds: Zeleznicar Pancevo 9.40 at Stake, the draw 7.40 at VBET, Braga 1.32 at bwin.
- VBET had the highest closing payout on the match result: 95.0%.
- Odds movement: the best price on the draw drifted from 4.75 at the opening to 7.40 at kick-off.
- The closing odds implied a 47% chance that both teams score.
Who were the favourites, Zeleznicar Pancevo or Braga?
Braga, by a distance: the closing odds put 61.9 percentage points between the two sides.
Which bookmaker had the best closing odds on Zeleznicar Pancevo – Braga?
It depended on the outcome: Stake was best on Zeleznicar Pancevo, VBET on the draw and bwin on Braga. Across all three outcomes VBET paid out the most (95.0%) and bwin the least (91.8%).
| BOOKMAKER | ZELEZNICAR PANCEVO | DRAW | BRAGA | PAYOUT |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| VBET | 7.70 | 7.40 best price | 1.27 | 95.0% |
| Stake | 9.40 best price | 6.00 | 1.24 | 92.6% |
| bwin | 8.25 | 4.75 | 1.32 best price | 91.8% |
| BEST PRICE | 9.40 | 7.40 | 1.32 | 100.1% |
| SPREAD, LOW TO HIGH | 7.70–9.40 · 22.1% | 4.75–7.40 · 55.8% | 1.24–1.32 · 6.5% | 91.8–95.0% |
How did the Zeleznicar Pancevo – Braga odds move before kick-off?
The best price on the draw drifted from 4.75 when odds opened on 21 Jul to 7.40 at kick-off, a 55.8% rise.
DATA
| BEST PRICE AT | ZELEZNICAR PANCEVO | DRAW | BRAGA |
|---|---|---|---|
| Tue 21 Jul (open) | 7.40 | 4.75 | 1.49 |
| Wed 22 Jul | 9.40 | 6.00 | 1.42 |
| Wed 22 Jul (kick-off) | 9.40 | 7.40 | 1.33 |
How many goals did the odds expect?
Both teams to score was priced at 46.5%.
How we calculate
Implied probability is 1 ÷ decimal odds. A bookmaker's match-result probabilities add up to more than 100%; the excess is its margin. We remove each bookmaker's margin proportionally and average the result across every bookmaker that prices all three outcomes.
Payout is 1 ÷ (1/odds₁ + 1/odds₂ + 1/odds₃): the share of all stakes a bookmaker would return across every outcome. Best-price payout uses the highest price on each outcome, wherever it is offered. Prices more than 48 hours old are left out while fresher ones exist.
Odds movement follows the best price on each outcome from the moment at least three bookmakers priced the match, sampled daily.
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