Spartak Trnava – CSKA 1948 Sofia odds
Spartak Trnava went into the match as narrow favourites against CSKA 1948 Sofia.
Full Time
1st Half
2nd Half
Spartak Trnava – CSKA 1948 Sofia: closing odds analysis
- Spartak Trnava were favourites: the closing odds implied a 40% chance of a home win, 30% for CSKA 1948 Sofia and 30% for a draw.
- Best closing odds: Spartak Trnava 2.35 at bwin, the draw 3.39 at VBET, CSKA 1948 Sofia 3.20 at bwin.
- VBET had the highest closing payout on the match result: 95.3%.
- Odds movement: the best price on CSKA 1948 Sofia drifted from 2.95 at the opening to 3.20 at kick-off.
- The closing odds implied a 51% chance that both teams score.
Who were the favourites, Spartak Trnava or CSKA 1948 Sofia?
Spartak Trnava, but only just: the closing odds put 10.6 percentage points between the two sides.
Which bookmaker had the best closing odds on Spartak Trnava – CSKA 1948 Sofia?
It depended on the outcome: bwin was best on Spartak Trnava, VBET on the draw and bwin on CSKA 1948 Sofia. Across all three outcomes VBET paid out the most (95.3%) and bwin the least (91.3%).
| BOOKMAKER | SPARTAK TRNAVA | DRAW | CSKA 1948 SOFIA | PAYOUT |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| VBET | 2.33 | 3.39 best price | 3.08 | 95.3% |
| Stake | 2.24 | 3.25 | 3.10 | 92.9% |
| bwin | 2.35 best price | 2.80 | 3.20 best price | 91.3% |
| BEST PRICE | 2.35 | 3.39 | 3.20 | 96.8% |
| SPREAD, LOW TO HIGH | 2.24–2.35 · 4.9% | 2.80–3.39 · 21.1% | 3.08–3.20 · 3.9% | 91.3–95.3% |
How did the Spartak Trnava – CSKA 1948 Sofia odds move before kick-off?
The best price on CSKA 1948 Sofia drifted from 2.95 when odds opened on 21 Jul to 3.20 at kick-off, a 8.5% rise.
DATA
| BEST PRICE AT | SPARTAK TRNAVA | DRAW | CSKA 1948 SOFIA |
|---|---|---|---|
| Tue 21 Jul (open) | 2.50 | 3.15 | 2.95 |
| Wed 22 Jul | 2.50 | 3.23 | 3.17 |
| Wed 22 Jul (kick-off) | 2.35 | 3.39 | 3.20 |
How many goals did the odds expect?
Both teams to score was priced at 50.7%.
How we calculate
Implied probability is 1 ÷ decimal odds. A bookmaker's match-result probabilities add up to more than 100%; the excess is its margin. We remove each bookmaker's margin proportionally and average the result across every bookmaker that prices all three outcomes.
Payout is 1 ÷ (1/odds₁ + 1/odds₂ + 1/odds₃): the share of all stakes a bookmaker would return across every outcome. Best-price payout uses the highest price on each outcome, wherever it is offered. Prices more than 48 hours old are left out while fresher ones exist.
Odds movement follows the best price on each outcome from the moment at least three bookmakers priced the match, sampled daily.
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