Levski Sofia – Universitatea Craiova odds
Levski Sofia went into the match as clear favourites against Universitatea Craiova.
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1st Half
2nd Half
Levski Sofia – Universitatea Craiova: closing odds analysis
- Levski Sofia were favourites: the closing odds implied a 46% chance of a home win, 25% for Universitatea Craiova and 29% for a draw.
- Best closing odds: Levski Sofia 2.45 at bwin, the draw 3.40 at SpreadEx, Universitatea Craiova 4.30 at Marathonbet.
- Betano had the highest closing payout on the match result: 95.2%.
- Odds movement: the best price on Levski Sofia drifted from 2.20 at the opening to 2.45 at kick-off.
- The closing odds implied a 45% chance of three or more goals and 47% that both teams score.
Who were the favourites, Levski Sofia or Universitatea Craiova?
Levski Sofia, clearly: the closing odds put 21.5 percentage points between the two sides.
Which bookmaker had the best closing odds on Levski Sofia – Universitatea Craiova?
It depended on the outcome: bwin was best on Levski Sofia, SpreadEx on the draw and Marathonbet on Universitatea Craiova. Across all three outcomes Betano paid out the most (95.2%) and Betmaster the least (90.0%).
| BOOKMAKER | LEVSKI SOFIA | DRAW | UNIVERSITATEA CRAIOVA | PAYOUT |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betano | 2.02 | 3.35 | 3.90 | 95.2% |
| Oddset | 2.08 | 3.30 | 3.75 | 95.2% |
| bwin | 2.45 best price | 2.80 | 3.40 | 94.4% |
| Betoro | 2.00 | 3.25 | 3.80 | 93.4% |
| Casino House | 2.00 | 3.25 | 3.80 | 93.4% |
| Betsson | 1.92 | 3.35 | 3.95 | 93.2% |
| NordicBet | 1.92 | 3.35 | 3.95 | 93.2% |
| ComeOn | 2.04 | 3.22 | 3.67 | 93.2% |
| TipWin | 2.05 | 3.20 | 3.65 | 93.1% |
| Bet25 | 2.00 | 3.25 | 3.75 | 93.1% |
| SpreadEx | 2.05 | 3.40 best price | 3.40 | 92.9% |
| Merkur Bets | 1.92 | 3.30 | 3.90 | 92.6% |
| Betinia | 1.95 | 3.14 | 4.00 | 92.5% |
| CampoBet | 1.95 | 3.14 | 4.00 | 92.5% |
| Casinomoto | 1.95 | 3.14 | 4.00 | 92.5% |
| GetLucky | 2.02 | 3.19 | 3.63 | 92.2% |
| Casinostuen | 2.02 | 3.19 | 3.63 | 92.2% |
| VBET | 2.18 | 2.90 | 3.50 | 91.8% |
| Expekt | 2.00 | 3.25 | 3.55 | 91.8% |
| Marathonbet | 1.81 | 3.26 | 4.30 best price | 91.6% |
| 888sport | 1.95 | 3.20 | 3.70 | 91.3% |
| Mr Green | 1.95 | 3.20 | 3.70 | 91.3% |
| Betmaster | 2.01 | 3.05 | 3.50 | 90.0% |
| Stake | 2.32 | 3.10 | — | — |
| BEST PRICE | 2.45 | 3.40 | 4.30 | 107.0% |
| SPREAD, LOW TO HIGH | 1.81–2.45 · 35.4% | 2.80–3.40 · 21.4% | 3.40–4.30 · 26.5% | 90.0–95.2% |
How did the Levski Sofia – Universitatea Craiova odds move before kick-off?
The best price on Levski Sofia drifted from 2.20 when odds opened on 22 Jul to 2.45 at kick-off, a 11.4% rise.
DATA
| BEST PRICE AT | LEVSKI SOFIA | DRAW | UNIVERSITATEA CRAIOVA |
|---|---|---|---|
| Wed 22 Jul (open) | 2.20 | 3.53 | 4.30 |
| Wed 22 Jul (kick-off) | 2.45 | 3.40 | 4.30 |
How many goals did the odds expect?
The closing odds were close to an even split on three or more goals. Both teams to score was priced at 47.4%.
How we calculate
Implied probability is 1 ÷ decimal odds. A bookmaker's match-result probabilities add up to more than 100%; the excess is its margin. We remove each bookmaker's margin proportionally and average the result across every bookmaker that prices all three outcomes.
Payout is 1 ÷ (1/odds₁ + 1/odds₂ + 1/odds₃): the share of all stakes a bookmaker would return across every outcome. Best-price payout uses the highest price on each outcome, wherever it is offered. Prices more than 48 hours old are left out while fresher ones exist.
Odds movement follows the best price on each outcome from the moment at least three bookmakers priced the match, sampled daily.
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