Sturm Graz – Hearts odds
Sturm Graz went into the match as heavy favourites against Hearts.
Full Time
1st Half
2nd Half
Sturm Graz – Hearts: closing odds analysis
- Sturm Graz were favourites: the closing odds implied a 50% chance of a home win, 23% for Hearts and 27% for a draw.
- Best closing odds: Sturm Graz 1.98 at bwin, the draw 3.79 at VBET, Hearts 4.10 at bwin.
- VBET had the highest closing payout on the match result: 95.3%.
- Odds movement: the best price on Hearts shortened from 4.20 at the opening to 4.10 at kick-off.
- The closing odds implied a 57% chance that both teams score.
Who were the favourites, Sturm Graz or Hearts?
Sturm Graz, by a distance: the closing odds put 26.8 percentage points between the two sides.
Which bookmaker had the best closing odds on Sturm Graz – Hearts?
It depended on the outcome: bwin was best on Sturm Graz, VBET on the draw and bwin on Hearts. Across all three outcomes VBET paid out the most (95.3%) and bwin the least (94.2%).
| BOOKMAKER | STURM GRAZ | DRAW | HEARTS | PAYOUT |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| VBET | 1.87 | 3.79 best price | 3.99 | 95.3% |
| Stake | 1.83 | 3.75 | 4.10 best price | 94.6% |
| bwin | 1.98 best price | 3.20 | 4.10 best price | 94.2% |
| BEST PRICE | 1.98 | 3.79 | 4.10 | 98.7% |
| SPREAD, LOW TO HIGH | 1.83–1.98 · 8.2% | 3.20–3.79 · 18.4% | 3.99–4.10 · 2.8% | 94.2–95.3% |
How did the Sturm Graz – Hearts odds move before kick-off?
The best price on Hearts shortened from 4.20 when odds opened on 21 Jul to 4.10 at kick-off, a 2.4% drop.
DATA
| BEST PRICE AT | STURM GRAZ | DRAW | HEARTS |
|---|---|---|---|
| Tue 21 Jul (open) | 1.95 | 3.85 | 4.20 |
| Tue 21 Jul (kick-off) | 1.98 | 3.79 | 4.10 |
How many goals did the odds expect?
Both teams to score was priced at 57.0%.
How we calculate
Implied probability is 1 ÷ decimal odds. A bookmaker's match-result probabilities add up to more than 100%; the excess is its margin. We remove each bookmaker's margin proportionally and average the result across every bookmaker that prices all three outcomes.
Payout is 1 ÷ (1/odds₁ + 1/odds₂ + 1/odds₃): the share of all stakes a bookmaker would return across every outcome. Best-price payout uses the highest price on each outcome, wherever it is offered. Prices more than 48 hours old are left out while fresher ones exist.
Odds movement follows the best price on each outcome from the moment at least three bookmakers priced the match, sampled daily.
More Champions League odds
- Arsenal – Borussia DortmundTue 24 Nov · 21:00
- Feyenoord – PortoTue 24 Nov · 21:00
- RB Leipzig – LensTue 24 Nov · 21:00
- Real Madrid – PSVTue 24 Nov · 21:00
- Sabah – BarcelonaWed 25 Nov · 18:45
- Atlético Madrid – VikingWed 25 Nov · 21:00
- Club Brugge – LiverpoolWed 25 Nov · 21:00
- Inter – StuttgartWed 25 Nov · 21:00
- Lille – Bayern MunichWed 25 Nov · 21:00
- Paris Saint-Germain – RomaWed 25 Nov · 21:00
- Shakhtar Donetsk – FenerbahçeWed 25 Nov · 21:00
- Sporting CP – Man UtdWed 25 Nov · 21:00
- Champions League odds ›
The odds imply probabilities; they are not predictions. OddsStat is a comparison service, not a bookmaker. 18+ · Gamble responsibly.