Mjallby – Lincoln Red Imps odds
Mjallby went into the match as heavy favourites against Lincoln Red Imps.
Full Time
1st Half
2nd Half
Mjallby – Lincoln Red Imps: closing odds analysis
- Mjallby were favourites: the closing odds implied a 81% chance of a home win, 6% for Lincoln Red Imps and 13% for a draw.
- Best closing odds: Mjallby 1.24 at bwin, the draw 7.80 at Stake, Lincoln Red Imps 17.00 at VBET.
- bwin had the highest closing payout on the match result: 95.5%.
- Odds movement: the best price on the draw shortened from 8.50 at the opening to 7.80 at kick-off.
- The closing odds implied a 41% chance that both teams score.
Who were the favourites, Mjallby or Lincoln Red Imps?
Mjallby, by a distance: the closing odds put 74.5 percentage points between the two sides.
Which bookmaker had the best closing odds on Mjallby – Lincoln Red Imps?
It depended on the outcome: bwin was best on Mjallby, Stake on the draw and VBET on Lincoln Red Imps. Across all three outcomes bwin paid out the most (95.5%) and VBET the least (91.0%).
| BOOKMAKER | MJALLBY | DRAW | LINCOLN RED IMPS | PAYOUT |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| bwin | 1.24 best price | 6.00 | 13.50 | 95.5% |
| Stake | 1.15 | 7.80 best price | 16.00 | 94.3% |
| VBET | 1.10 | 7.60 | 17.00 best price | 91.0% |
| BEST PRICE | 1.24 | 7.80 | 17.00 | 100.7% |
| SPREAD, LOW TO HIGH | 1.10–1.24 · 12.7% | 6.00–7.80 · 30.0% | 13.50–17.00 · 25.9% | 91.0–95.5% |
How did the Mjallby – Lincoln Red Imps odds move before kick-off?
The best price on the draw shortened from 8.50 when odds opened on 21 Jul to 7.80 at kick-off, a 8.2% drop.
DATA
| BEST PRICE AT | MJALLBY | DRAW | LINCOLN RED IMPS |
|---|---|---|---|
| Tue 21 Jul (open) | 1.24 | 8.50 | 17.00 |
| Tue 21 Jul (kick-off) | 1.24 | 7.80 | 17.00 |
How many goals did the odds expect?
Both teams to score was priced at 41.4%.
How we calculate
Implied probability is 1 ÷ decimal odds. A bookmaker's match-result probabilities add up to more than 100%; the excess is its margin. We remove each bookmaker's margin proportionally and average the result across every bookmaker that prices all three outcomes.
Payout is 1 ÷ (1/odds₁ + 1/odds₂ + 1/odds₃): the share of all stakes a bookmaker would return across every outcome. Best-price payout uses the highest price on each outcome, wherever it is offered. Prices more than 48 hours old are left out while fresher ones exist.
Odds movement follows the best price on each outcome from the moment at least three bookmakers priced the match, sampled daily.
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