Larne – Crvena Zvezda odds
Crvena Zvezda went into the match as heavy favourites against Larne.
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1st Half
2nd Half
Larne – Crvena Zvezda: closing odds analysis
- Crvena Zvezda were favourites: the closing odds implied a 79% chance of an away win, 7% for Larne and 14% for a draw.
- Best closing odds: Larne 15.00 at Stake, the draw 7.50 at Merkur Bets, Crvena Zvezda 1.27 at bwin.
- bwin had the highest closing payout on the match result: 95.3%.
- The closing odds implied a 58% chance of three or more goals and 39% that both teams score.
Who were the favourites, Larne or Crvena Zvezda?
Crvena Zvezda, by a distance: the closing odds put 72.3 percentage points between the two sides.
Which bookmaker had the best closing odds on Larne – Crvena Zvezda?
It depended on the outcome: Stake was best on Larne, Merkur Bets on the draw and bwin on Crvena Zvezda. Across all three outcomes bwin paid out the most (95.3%) and VBET the least (91.0%).
| BOOKMAKER | LARNE | DRAW | CRVENA ZVEZDA | PAYOUT |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| bwin | 12.50 | 5.50 | 1.27 best price | 95.3% |
| Bet25 | 14.00 | 6.60 | 1.18 | 93.4% |
| ComeOn | 14.86 | 7.43 | 1.15 | 93.3% |
| Betoro | 15.00 best price | 6.33 | 1.18 | 93.3% |
| Casino House | 15.00 best price | 6.33 | 1.18 | 93.3% |
| Merkur Bets | 14.39 | 7.50 best price | 1.14 | 92.6% |
| GetLucky | 14.72 | 7.36 | 1.14 | 92.5% |
| Casinostuen | 14.72 | 7.36 | 1.14 | 92.5% |
| Betano | 13.00 | 6.10 | 1.19 | 92.5% |
| Betinia | 13.00 | 6.33 | 1.18 | 92.4% |
| CampoBet | 13.00 | 6.33 | 1.18 | 92.4% |
| Casinomoto | 13.00 | 6.33 | 1.18 | 92.4% |
| Expekt | 12.50 | 6.80 | 1.16 | 91.8% |
| Betmaster | 11.00 | 6.40 | 1.18 | 91.4% |
| VBET | 14.00 | 7.00 | 1.13 | 91.0% |
| Stake | 15.00 best price | 7.20 | — | — |
| BEST PRICE | 15.00 | 7.50 | 1.27 | 101.3% |
| SPREAD, LOW TO HIGH | 11.00–15.00 · 36.4% | 5.50–7.50 · 36.4% | 1.13–1.27 · 12.4% | 91.0–95.3% |
How many goals did the odds expect?
Three or more goals was priced as more likely than not. Both teams to score was priced at 39.2%.
How we calculate
Implied probability is 1 ÷ decimal odds. A bookmaker's match-result probabilities add up to more than 100%; the excess is its margin. We remove each bookmaker's margin proportionally and average the result across every bookmaker that prices all three outcomes.
Payout is 1 ÷ (1/odds₁ + 1/odds₂ + 1/odds₃): the share of all stakes a bookmaker would return across every outcome. Best-price payout uses the highest price on each outcome, wherever it is offered. Prices more than 48 hours old are left out while fresher ones exist.
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