IFK Göteborg – Levadia Tallinn odds
IFK Göteborg went into the match as heavy favourites against Levadia Tallinn.
Full Time
1st Half
2nd Half
IFK Göteborg – Levadia Tallinn: closing odds analysis
- IFK Göteborg were favourites: the closing odds implied a 60% chance of a home win, 17% for Levadia Tallinn and 23% for a draw.
- Best closing odds: IFK Göteborg 1.58 at bwin, the draw 4.40 at Stake, Levadia Tallinn 5.90 at VBET.
- Stake had the highest closing payout on the match result: 93.2%.
- Odds movement: the best price on Levadia Tallinn shortened from 6.40 at the opening to 5.90 at kick-off.
- The closing odds implied a 56% chance that both teams score.
Who were the favourites, IFK Göteborg or Levadia Tallinn?
IFK Göteborg, by a distance: the closing odds put 43.5 percentage points between the two sides.
Which bookmaker had the best closing odds on IFK Göteborg – Levadia Tallinn?
It depended on the outcome: bwin was best on IFK Göteborg, Stake on the draw and VBET on Levadia Tallinn. Across all three outcomes Stake paid out the most (93.2%) and VBET the least (90.8%).
| BOOKMAKER | IFK GÖTEBORG | DRAW | LEVADIA TALLINN | PAYOUT |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Stake | 1.50 | 4.40 best price | 5.60 | 93.2% |
| bwin | 1.58 best price | 3.80 | 5.00 | 91.2% |
| VBET | 1.49 | 3.83 | 5.90 best price | 90.8% |
| BEST PRICE | 1.58 | 4.40 | 5.90 | 97.1% |
| SPREAD, LOW TO HIGH | 1.49–1.58 · 6.0% | 3.80–4.40 · 15.8% | 5.00–5.90 · 18.0% | 90.8–93.2% |
How did the IFK Göteborg – Levadia Tallinn odds move before kick-off?
The best price on Levadia Tallinn shortened from 6.40 when odds opened on 20 Jul to 5.90 at kick-off, a 7.8% drop.
DATA
| BEST PRICE AT | IFK GÖTEBORG | DRAW | LEVADIA TALLINN |
|---|---|---|---|
| Mon 20 Jul (open) | 1.53 | 4.75 | 6.40 |
| Tue 21 Jul | 1.55 | 4.90 | 6.00 |
| Tue 21 Jul (kick-off) | 1.58 | 4.40 | 5.90 |
How many goals did the odds expect?
Both teams to score was priced at 56.4%.
How we calculate
Implied probability is 1 ÷ decimal odds. A bookmaker's match-result probabilities add up to more than 100%; the excess is its margin. We remove each bookmaker's margin proportionally and average the result across every bookmaker that prices all three outcomes.
Payout is 1 ÷ (1/odds₁ + 1/odds₂ + 1/odds₃): the share of all stakes a bookmaker would return across every outcome. Best-price payout uses the highest price on each outcome, wherever it is offered. Prices more than 48 hours old are left out while fresher ones exist.
Odds movement follows the best price on each outcome from the moment at least three bookmakers priced the match, sampled daily.
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