LA LIGA · MON 13 JUL · 23:00

Real Madrid – Barcelona odds

Real Madrid went into the match as narrow favourites against Barcelona.

6 markets · closing odds across 9 bookmakers

FINISHEDThis match has finished. The prices below are the closing odds recorded before kick-off — they are archival and not comparable to live prices.

WHAT THE CLOSING ODDS IMPLIED

Real Madrid 41%Draw 26%Barcelona 33%

CLOSING PAYOUT · MATCH RESULT

93.8%

vs 89.1% average

KICK-OFF

23:00

Full Time

Match Result

3 outcomes

Real Madrid	2.30
Draw	3.64
Barcelona	2.80

Double Chance

3 outcomes

Real Madrid / Draw	1.44
Real Madrid / Barcelona	1.28
Draw / Barcelona	1.58

Over/Under 2.5 Goals

2 outcomes

Over 2.5	1.66
Under 2.5	2.15

Both Teams to Score

2 outcomes

Yes	1.55
No	2.45

Correct Score

5 outcomes

2-1	8.90
1-1	6.10
2-2	12.50
3-1	13.00
0-0	11.50

Players

Anytime Goalscorer

6 outcomes

Vinicius Jr	2.20
Jude Bellingham	2.71
Lamine Yamal	2.95
Robert Lewandowski	2.10
Kylian Mbappé	1.95
Raphinha	3.40

Real Madrid – Barcelona: closing odds analysis

By OddsStat odds data · Closing prices at kick-off, 13 Jul 2026, 23:00 · 9 bookmakers licensed in Denmark

KEY FACTS · AT KICK-OFF

Real Madrid were favourites: the closing odds implied a 41% chance of a home win, 33% for Barcelona and 26% for a draw.
Best closing odds: Real Madrid 2.30 at Stake, the draw 3.64 at VBET, Barcelona 2.80 at VBET.
Stake had the highest closing payout on the match result: 93.0%.
The closing odds implied a 56% chance of three or more goals and 61% that both teams score.

Who were the favourites, Real Madrid or Barcelona?

Real Madrid, but only just: the closing odds put 7.3 percentage points between the two sides.

Which bookmaker had the best closing odds on Real Madrid – Barcelona?

It depended on the outcome: Stake was best on Real Madrid, VBET on the draw and VBET on Barcelona. Across all three outcomes Stake paid out the most (93.0%) and Betano the least (84.7%).

Real Madrid – Barcelona: closing match result odds and payout by bookmaker
BOOKMAKER	REAL MADRID	DRAW	BARCELONA	PAYOUT
Stake	2.30 best price	3.59	2.76	93.0%
VBET	2.24	3.64 best price	2.80 best price	92.7%
bwin	2.27	3.54	2.72	91.7%
Betsson	2.21	3.50	2.69	90.1%
NordicBet	2.18	3.45	2.66	88.9%
Expekt	2.16	3.41	2.63	88.0%
LeoVegas	2.13	3.37	2.60	86.9%
Unibet	2.10	3.33	2.56	85.7%
Betano	2.08	3.29	2.53	84.7%
BEST PRICE	2.30	3.64	2.80	93.8%
SPREAD, LOW TO HIGH	2.08–2.30 · 10.6%	3.29–3.64 · 10.6%	2.53–2.80 · 10.7%	84.7–93.0%

Closing odds: the last prices recorded before kick-off · — = no price from that bookmaker.

Barcelona had the widest spread: 2.53 to 2.80 across 9 bookmakers, a difference of 10.7%.

How many goals did the odds expect?

Three or more goals was priced as more likely than not. Both teams to score was priced at 61.2%.

Over 2.5 goals56%
Both teams score61%

The closing odds implied a 56% chance of three or more goals in Real Madrid – Barcelona.

How we calculate

Implied probability is 1 ÷ decimal odds. A bookmaker's match-result probabilities add up to more than 100%; the excess is its margin. We remove each bookmaker's margin proportionally and average the result across every bookmaker that prices all three outcomes.

Payout is 1 ÷ (1/odds₁ + 1/odds₂ + 1/odds₃): the share of all stakes a bookmaker would return across every outcome. Best-price payout uses the highest price on each outcome, wherever it is offered. Prices more than 48 hours old are left out while fresher ones exist.

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The odds imply probabilities; they are not predictions. OddsStat is a comparison service, not a bookmaker. 18+ · Gamble responsibly.