Man City – Chelsea odds
Man City went into the match as heavy favourites against Chelsea.
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Man City – Chelsea: closing odds analysis
- Man City were favourites: the closing odds implied a 60% chance of a home win, 17% for Chelsea and 23% for a draw.
- Best closing odds: Man City 1.62 at VBET, the draw 4.13 at Betsson, Chelsea 5.69 at VBET.
- VBET had the highest closing payout on the match result: 95.7%.
Who were the favourites, Man City or Chelsea?
Man City, by a distance: the closing odds put 42.7 percentage points between the two sides.
Which bookmaker had the best closing odds on Man City – Chelsea?
It depended on the outcome: VBET was best on Man City, Betsson on the draw and VBET on Chelsea. Across all three outcomes VBET paid out the most (95.7%) and Betano the least (87.1%).
| BOOKMAKER | MAN CITY | DRAW | CHELSEA | PAYOUT |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| VBET | 1.62 best price | 3.97 | 5.69 best price | 95.7% |
| Stake | 1.60 | 4.07 | 5.61 | 95.3% |
| Betsson | 1.56 | 4.13 best price | 5.47 | 93.8% |
| bwin | 1.57 | 4.01 | 5.53 | 93.7% |
| NordicBet | 1.54 | 3.92 | 5.40 | 91.8% |
| Expekt | 1.52 | 3.87 | 5.34 | 90.6% |
| LeoVegas | 1.50 | 3.83 | 5.27 | 89.5% |
| Unibet | 1.48 | 3.78 | 5.21 | 88.3% |
| Betano | 1.46 | 3.73 | 5.14 | 87.1% |
| BEST PRICE | 1.62 | 4.13 | 5.69 | 96.6% |
| SPREAD, LOW TO HIGH | 1.46–1.62 · 11.0% | 3.73–4.13 · 10.7% | 5.14–5.69 · 10.7% | 87.1–95.7% |
How we calculate
Implied probability is 1 ÷ decimal odds. A bookmaker's match-result probabilities add up to more than 100%; the excess is its margin. We remove each bookmaker's margin proportionally and average the result across every bookmaker that prices all three outcomes.
Payout is 1 ÷ (1/odds₁ + 1/odds₂ + 1/odds₃): the share of all stakes a bookmaker would return across every outcome. Best-price payout uses the highest price on each outcome, wherever it is offered. Prices more than 48 hours old are left out while fresher ones exist.
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